The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Duke (3‑1) vs Louisville (2‑1) |
27 | Duke Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 18% | ||
| N.C. State (4‑0) vs Florida St. (4‑1) |
2 | N.C. State Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| North Carolina (2‑1) vs Georgia Tech (2‑2) |
2 | North Carolina Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Miami (3‑1) vs Clemson (4‑1) |
2 | Miami Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 17% | ||
| California (4‑1) vs Stanford (5‑0) |
2 | California Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑0) vs Syracuse (3‑1) |
2 | Notre Dame Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑2) vs Pittsburgh (5‑0) |
1 | Virginia Tech Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| SMU (4‑1) vs Virginia (3‑1) |
1 | SMU Wins | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Boston College (3‑1) vs Wake Forest (5‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||