The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (5‑0) vs Florida St. (6‑1) |
28 | N.C. State Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Stanford (6‑0) vs California (5‑1) |
2 | Stanford Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| California Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Louisville (3‑1) vs Duke (4‑1) |
2 | Louisville Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Duke Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 11% | ||
| Wake Forest (6‑1) vs Boston College (4‑1) |
2 | Wake Forest Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑2) vs Notre Dame (4‑1) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| SMU (4‑2) vs Virginia (3‑2) |
1 | SMU Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑2) vs Pittsburgh (6‑1) |
1 | Virginia Tech Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Clemson (4‑1) vs Miami (3‑3) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Miami Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑3) vs North Carolina (3‑1) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | ||