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Tue Jan 27 10:30 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 13 of 18

Notre Dame Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Notre Dame Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
Notre Dame
(11‑10)
vs
Syracuse
(12‑9)		 22 Notre Dame Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 12% 20% 18% 13% 9% 11%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Syracuse Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 12% 16% 18% 15% 26%
Virginia
(17‑3)
vs
Boston College
(9‑11)		 2 Virginia Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 10% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Boston College Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 16% 14% 12% 21%
Clemson
(17‑4)
vs
Pittsburgh
(9‑12)		 2 Clemson Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Pittsburgh Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 16% 14% 12% 21%
Duke
(19‑1)
vs
Virginia Tech
(16‑6)		 1 Duke Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 14% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Virginia Tech Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
North Carolina
(16‑4)
vs
Georgia Tech
(11‑10)		 1 North Carolina Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Georgia Tech Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 15% 16% 15% 13% 20%
N.C. State
(15‑6)
vs
Wake Forest
(11‑10)		 1 N.C. State Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 10% 16% 17% 14% 11% 18%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Wake Forest Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 14% 16% 15% 13% 20%
SMU
(15‑5)
vs
Louisville
(14‑6)		 1 SMU Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 15% 16% 15% 12% 20%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Louisville Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Stanford
(14‑6)
vs
Miami
(16‑4)		 0 Stanford Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Miami Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 15% 16% 14% 12% 20%
California
(15‑5)
vs
Florida St.
(8‑12)		 0 California Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 16% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 15% 17% 15% 12% 19%
Florida St. Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 15% 16% 14% 12% 20%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament