The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (3‑1) vs SMU (4‑1) |
26 | Virginia Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| SMU Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Stanford (5‑0) vs California (4‑1) |
3 | Stanford Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| California Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑1) vs Notre Dame (4‑0) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| North Carolina (2‑1) vs Georgia Tech (2‑2) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Louisville (2‑1) vs Duke (3‑1) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Duke Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Florida St. (4‑1) vs N.C. State (4‑0) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Clemson (4‑1) vs Miami (3‑1) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Miami Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Boston College (3‑1) vs Wake Forest (5‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑2) vs Pittsburgh (5‑0) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||