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Tue Jan 27 10:30 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 13 of 18

Virginia Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Virginia Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Virginia Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
Virginia
(17‑3)
vs
Boston College
(9‑11)		 31 Virginia Wins 12% 36% 25% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College Wins 4% 24% 24% 18% 12% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Duke
(19‑1)
vs
Virginia Tech
(16‑6)		 4 Duke Wins 9% 36% 25% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech Wins 15% 30% 23% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh
(9‑12)
vs
Clemson
(17‑4)		 4 Pittsburgh Wins 12% 40% 21% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Clemson Wins 10% 33% 26% 14% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech
(11‑10)
vs
North Carolina
(16‑4)		 4 Georgia Tech Wins 11% 37% 24% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Carolina Wins 11% 34% 25% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Louisville
(14‑6)
vs
SMU
(15‑5)		 3 Louisville Wins 11% 35% 25% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SMU Wins 11% 33% 24% 14% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stanford
(14‑6)
vs
Miami
(16‑4)		 3 Stanford Wins 11% 36% 25% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami Wins 11% 33% 25% 14% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wake Forest
(11‑10)
vs
N.C. State
(15‑6)		 3 Wake Forest Wins 11% 35% 25% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
N.C. State Wins 10% 35% 24% 14% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St.
(8‑12)
vs
California
(15‑5)		 1 Florida St. Wins 11% 34% 25% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
California Wins 10% 35% 25% 13% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame
(11‑10)
vs
Syracuse
(12‑9)		 0 Notre Dame Wins 11% 35% 25% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 34% 24% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Syracuse Wins 11% 35% 25% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament