The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (3‑8) vs Dolphins (4‑6) |
0 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Raiders (2‑8) vs Broncos (6‑5) |
0 | Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lions (9‑1) vs Colts (5‑6) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens (7‑4) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
0 | Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Steelers (8‑2) vs Browns (2‑8) |
0 | Steelers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chiefs (9‑1) vs Panthers (3‑7) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Titans (2‑8) vs Texans (7‑4) |
0 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||