The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
59 | Patriots Wins | 49% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 31% | 36% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
50 | Commanders Wins | 62% | 23% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 42% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texans (6‑5) vs Colts (8‑3) |
7 | Texans Wins | 48% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 46% | 36% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
6 | Steelers Wins | 47% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 46% | 37% | 9% | <1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (4‑7) vs Saints (2‑9) |
3 | Dolphins Wins | 47% | 36% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Saints Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
3 | Raiders Wins | 47% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Titans (1‑10) vs Jaguars (7‑4) |
2 | Titans Wins | 47% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys (5‑5‑1) vs Chiefs (6‑5) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (3‑8) vs Ravens (6‑5) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 46% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (7‑4) |
0 | Browns Wins | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 46% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||