The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (3‑2) vs Jets (2‑3) |
40 | Patriots Wins | 6% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Jets Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Raiders (3‑2) vs Bills (3‑1) |
7 | Raiders Wins | 6% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Bills Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Texans (1‑4) vs Jaguars (4‑1) |
6 | Texans Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rams (2‑2) vs Bills (3‑1) |
6 | Rams Wins | 6% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Bills Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Seahawks (3‑2) vs Broncos (3‑2) |
2 | Seahawks Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Chargers (0‑5) vs Chiefs (4‑0) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Browns (3‑2) vs Ravens (4‑1) |
2 | Browns Wins | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 36% | ||
| Titans (0‑5) vs Colts (2‑3) |
2 | Titans Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Colts Wins | 5% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Buccaneers (1‑4) vs Steelers (3‑2) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 6% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 35% | ||