The Patriots What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Patriots play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 3 | 0 | 17% | 60% | 3% | X | 16% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11 | 3 | 0 | 11% | 57% | 8% | <1% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 53% | 15% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 34% | 47% | 16% | X | 1% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11% | 57% | 8% | <1% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 64% | 2% | X | 11% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Browns beats Bills Patriots beats Ravens Jaguars beats Broncos |
Worst Case Scenario Bills beats Browns Ravens beats Patriots Broncos beats Jaguars |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 26% | 74% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 55% | 11% | X | 30% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 12 | 5 | 0 | X | 4% | 10% | X | 31% | 51% | 3% | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 32% | 64% | 2% |