PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►NHL►Western Playoff Picture►Ducks Playoff Picture►Ducks What If?
Mon Oct 12 5:30 am

NHL - Week 3 of 28

Ducks What If?

The Ducks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ducks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ducks What If?

Next Game - Flames (0‑5‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 1 0 10 22% 17% 13% - - - 6% 6% 35%
Current Standings 4 1 0 8 21% 16% 14% - - - 6% 6% 36%
Lose Next Game 4 2 0 8 20% 17% 13% - - - 6% 6% 37%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 22% 17% 13% - - - 6% 6% 35%
Current Standings 21% 16% 14% - - - 6% 6% 36%
Worst Case Scenario 20% 17% 13% - - - 6% 6% 37%
Best Case Scenario
   Ducks beats Flames
 Worst Case Scenario
   Flames beats Ducks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
79 of 79 100% 83 1 0 166 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 79 89% 74 10 0 148 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 79 85% 71 13 0 142 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 79 84% 70 14 0 140 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 79 82% 69 15 0 138 85% 15% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 79 81% 68 16 0 136 78% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 79 80% 67 17 0 134 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 79 78% 66 18 0 132 66% 31% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 79 77% 65 19 0 130 59% 35% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 79 76% 64 20 0 128 53% 39% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 79 75% 63 21 0 126 45% 43% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
58 of 79 73% 62 22 0 124 39% 45% 14% - - - 1% <1% <1%
57 of 79 72% 61 23 0 122 34% 46% 18% - - - 2% <1% <1%
56 of 79 71% 60 24 0 120 28% 46% 22% - - - 4% <1% <1%
55 of 79 70% 59 25 0 118 24% 45% 25% - - - 5% 1% <1%
54 of 79 68% 58 26 0 116 20% 43% 29% - - - 7% 1% <1%
53 of 79 67% 57 27 0 114 16% 41% 32% - - - 10% 1% <1%
52 of 79 66% 56 28 0 112 13% 38% 35% - - - 12% 2% <1%
51 of 79 65% 55 29 0 110 11% 35% 36% - - - 15% 3% <1%
50 of 79 63% 54 30 0 108 9% 31% 38% - - - 18% 4% <1%
49 of 79 62% 53 31 0 106 7% 27% 38% - - - 21% 7% 1%
48 of 79 61% 52 32 0 104 5% 25% 38% - - - 21% 9% 2%
47 of 79 59% 51 33 0 102 4% 22% 36% - - - 23% 12% 3%
46 of 79 58% 50 34 0 100 3% 18% 35% - - - 23% 15% 6%
45 of 79 57% 49 35 0 98 2% 15% 33% - - - 24% 18% 8%
44 of 79 56% 48 36 0 96 2% 13% 31% - - - 22% 20% 12%
43 of 79 54% 47 37 0 94 1% 10% 29% - - - 20% 23% 16%
42 of 79 53% 46 38 0 92 1% 9% 26% - - - 18% 25% 21%
41 of 79 52% 45 39 0 90 1% 7% 25% - - - 16% 24% 27%
40 of 79 51% 44 40 0 88 1% 6% 21% - - - 14% 24% 34%
39 of 79 49% 43 41 0 86 <1% 5% 19% - - - 11% 24% 41%
38 of 79 48% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 16% - - - 9% 22% 49%
37 of 79 47% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 14% - - - 7% 19% 57%
36 of 79 46% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 12% - - - 5% 16% 64%
35 of 79 44% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 9% - - - 4% 14% 71%
34 of 79 43% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 2% 11% 78%
33 of 79 42% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 9% 82%
32 of 79 41% 36 48 0 72 <1% <1% 5% - - - 1% 6% 87%
31 of 79 39% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 4% 91%
30 of 79 38% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
20 of 79 25% 24 60 0 48 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 79 13% 14 70 0 28 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 79 0% 4 80 0 8 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs