The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (5‑4‑2) vs Hockey Club (8‑3‑0) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 57% | ||
| Panthers (5‑5‑1) vs Stars (6‑3‑2) |
1 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 57% | ||
| Rangers (5‑5‑2) vs Kraken (5‑2‑3) |
1 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 57% | ||
| Hurricanes (7‑3‑0) vs Bruins (6‑7‑0) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jackets (6‑4‑0) vs Blues (3‑6‑2) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Sabres (4‑4‑3) vs Capitals (6‑5‑0) |
1 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Penguins (8‑2‑2) vs Jets (8‑3‑0) |
1 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Jets Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Senators (6‑5‑1) vs Canadiens (8‑3‑0) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Flyers (6‑3‑1) vs Maple Leafs (5‑5‑1) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Kings (5‑3‑4) vs Devils (8‑3‑0) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 13% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 56% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 56% | ||