The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (25‑13‑3) vs Avalanche (31‑3‑7) |
5 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 42% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Canucks (16‑20‑5) vs Sabres (21‑15‑4) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Ducks (21‑17‑3) vs Capitals (21‑15‑6) |
1 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 12% | ||
| Devils (22‑18‑2) vs Islanders (23‑15‑4) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 12% | ||
| Panthers (22‑16‑3) vs Maple Leafs (19‑15‑7) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Hockey Club (19‑20‑3) vs Rangers (20‑18‑5) |
0 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 12% | ||
| Stars (25‑9‑8) vs Hurricanes (25‑14‑3) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Senators (20‑15‑5) vs Red Wings (24‑15‑4) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Blue Jackets (18‑16‑7) vs Sharks (20‑18‑3) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 45% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||