The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (26‑13‑3) vs Flyers (22‑12‑8) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 9% | ||
| Canucks (16‑22‑5) vs Maple Leafs (21‑15‑7) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Wild (26‑11‑8) vs Islanders (24‑15‑5) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Panthers (22‑18‑3) vs Senators (20‑18‑5) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Jets (16‑22‑5) vs Devils (22‑20‑2) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flames (18‑22‑4) vs Penguins (21‑12‑9) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Hurricanes (27‑14‑3) vs Kraken (20‑14‑8) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Sabres (23‑15‑4) vs Ducks (21‑20‑3) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Canadiens (25‑13‑6) vs Red Wings (26‑15‑4) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Avalanche (32‑4‑7) vs Blue Jackets (18‑18‑7) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Rangers (20‑19‑6) vs Bruins (23‑19‑2) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||