The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (43‑21‑5) vs Wild (40‑19‑12) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 53% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 57% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) vs Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 56% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 53% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) vs Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 56% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 52% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stars (43‑16‑11) vs Devils (35‑32‑2) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 55% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blues (28‑30‑11) vs Capitals (35‑27‑9) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 55% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 55% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators (37‑24‑9) vs Red Wings (38‑24‑8) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Avalanche (46‑13‑10) vs Penguins (35‑19‑16) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 55% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders (40‑26‑5) vs Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kraken (31‑29‑9) vs Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 55% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (34‑23‑12) vs Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||