The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (32‑14‑4) vs Mammoth (27‑20‑4) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 56% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Golden Knights (25‑13‑12) vs Senators (23‑21‑7) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Kraken (22‑19‑9) vs Devils (27‑22‑2) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Blackhawks (21‑22‑8) vs Panthers (27‑20‑3) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Avalanche (34‑6‑9) vs Maple Leafs (24‑18‑9) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (21‑25‑6) vs Bruins (30‑20‑2) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Kings (21‑16‑13) vs Blue Jackets (24‑20‑7) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Penguins (25‑14‑11) vs Canucks (17‑29‑5) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Islanders (27‑19‑5) vs Flyers (24‑17‑9) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 61% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||