The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (9‑3‑2) vs Blackhawks (4‑11‑1) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Penguins (5‑8‑2) vs Bruins (11‑4‑1) |
1 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Mammoth (10‑6‑0) vs Canadiens (9‑3‑3) |
1 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 21% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Golden Knights (10‑5‑2) vs Red Wings (7‑6‑3) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Blue Jackets (6‑7‑0) vs Stars (9‑5‑1) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Islanders (7‑5‑2) vs Hurricanes (12‑3‑2) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Flyers (4‑9‑4) vs Rangers (8‑7‑1) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Blues (7‑7‑1) vs Devils (10‑5‑0) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 34% | ||