The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (20‑13‑3) vs Panthers (20‑14‑2) |
8 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Kraken (15‑14‑6) vs Flyers (19‑10‑7) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Bruins (20‑17‑1) vs Sabres (18‑14‑4) |
1 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Islanders (20‑13‑4) vs Rangers (19‑16‑4) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Maple Leafs (16‑15‑5) vs Senators (18‑13‑5) |
1 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Devils (20‑16‑1) vs Capitals (19‑13‑5) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Hurricanes (22‑11‑3) vs Red Wings (22‑13‑3) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 31% | ||