The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (7‑2‑0) vs Avalanche (5‑4‑1) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Predators (3‑2‑3) vs Bruins (7‑2‑1) |
1 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Devils (5‑4‑0) vs Ducks (4‑5‑0) |
1 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Sharks (5‑4‑1) vs Senators (7‑3‑0) |
1 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Islanders (5‑3‑1) vs Kings (1‑4‑2) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Capitals (5‑4‑0) vs Sabres (4‑4‑2) |
1 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Oilers (7‑1‑1) vs Hurricanes (8‑2‑1) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Red Wings (3‑3‑3) vs Canucks (2‑8‑1) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Blackhawks (3‑6‑0) vs Canadiens (4‑3‑2) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Maple Leafs (5‑4‑2) vs Rangers (7‑3‑1) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Penguins (3‑6‑1) vs Panthers (5‑3‑2) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 27% | ||