The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Hurricanes (26‑14‑3) vs Ducks (21‑19‑3) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flyers (22‑12‑7) vs Maple Leafs (20‑15‑7) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Penguins (20‑12‑9) vs Devils (22‑19‑2) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Sabres (22‑15‑4) vs Rangers (20‑18‑6) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Flames (18‑21‑4) vs Bruins (22‑19‑2) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Blackhawks (18‑18‑7) vs Capitals (22‑16‑6) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | ||
| Senators (20‑17‑5) vs Avalanche (31‑4‑7) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Canadiens (24‑13‑6) vs Panthers (22‑17‑3) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Islanders (24‑15‑4) vs Predators (19‑19‑4) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Predators Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Red Wings (25‑15‑4) vs Canucks (16‑21‑5) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jackets (18‑17‑7) vs Golden Knights (18‑11‑12) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||