The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (19‑13‑3) vs Blues (14‑15‑8) |
8 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 39% | ||
| Stars (25‑7‑5) vs Red Wings (21‑13‑3) |
2 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 21% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 35% | ||
| Devils (20‑15‑1) vs Islanders (19‑13‑4) |
1 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 35% | ||
| Canucks (15‑17‑3) vs Flyers (17‑10‑7) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Penguins (15‑11‑9) vs Maple Leafs (15‑15‑5) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Panthers (19‑14‑2) vs Hurricanes (22‑10‑3) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Kings (15‑10‑9) vs Blue Jackets (14‑15‑6) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Bruins (20‑16‑1) vs Canadiens (19‑12‑5) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Senators (18‑13‑4) vs Sabres (17‑14‑4) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Rangers (18‑16‑4) vs Capitals (19‑12‑5) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 34% | ||