The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (31‑13‑4) vs Blackhawks (21‑22‑7) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 69% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 62% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Islanders (27‑18‑5) vs Sabres (28‑17‑5) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canadiens (28‑16‑7) vs Bruins (29‑20‑2) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Jets (20‑23‑7) vs Red Wings (31‑16‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 68% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canucks (17‑28‑5) vs Devils (26‑22‑2) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Wild (29‑14‑9) vs Panthers (26‑20‑3) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Hurricanes (31‑15‑5) vs Senators (23‑20‑7) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Flyers (23‑17‑9) vs Avalanche (34‑5‑9) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Golden Knights (24‑13‑12) vs Maple Leafs (24‑17‑9) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (21‑24‑6) vs Sharks (25‑21‑3) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Capitals (24‑21‑6) vs Flames (21‑24‑5) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||