The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (29‑13‑3) vs Blues (18‑21‑8) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 59% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Kraken (21‑15‑9) vs Bruins (26‑19‑2) |
1 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Sharks (23‑19‑3) vs Capitals (24‑17‑6) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Hurricanes (28‑15‑4) vs Panthers (24‑18‑3) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Canucks (16‑25‑5) vs Blue Jackets (20‑19‑7) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Oilers (23‑16‑8) vs Islanders (25‑16‑5) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Penguins (21‑14‑10) vs Flyers (22‑15‑8) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Golden Knights (22‑11‑12) vs Maple Leafs (23‑16‑7) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Canadiens (26‑14‑7) vs Sabres (25‑16‑4) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||