The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (10‑6‑2) vs Stars (12‑6‑0) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 33% | ||
| Sharks (6‑11‑5) vs Sabres (10‑9‑1) |
1 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 18% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 33% | ||
| Avalanche (11‑9‑0) vs Panthers (12‑7‑1) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Hockey Club (7‑9‑3) vs Penguins (7‑11‑4) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Canucks (9‑6‑3) vs Senators (8‑10‑1) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Canadiens (7‑10‑2) vs Golden Knights (12‑6‑2) |
1 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Hurricanes (14‑5‑0) vs Blue Jackets (8‑9‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Islanders (7‑8‑5) vs Blues (9‑11‑1) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Bruins (9‑9‑3) vs Red Wings (8‑9‑2) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Oilers (10‑9‑2) vs Rangers (12‑5‑1) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Devils (13‑7‑2) vs Capitals (13‑5‑1) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||
| Flyers (8‑10‑2) vs Blackhawks (7‑12‑1) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 25% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 32% | ||