The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (26‑13‑3) vs Flyers (22‑12‑8) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 9% | ||
| Canucks (16‑22‑5) vs Maple Leafs (21‑15‑7) |
1 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Ducks (21‑20‑3) vs Sabres (23‑15‑4) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Hurricanes (27‑14‑3) vs Kraken (20‑14‑8) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Blackhawks (18‑18‑7) vs Capitals (22‑16‑6) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flames (18‑22‑4) vs Penguins (21‑12‑9) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Senators (20‑18‑5) vs Panthers (22‑18‑3) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Bruins (23‑19‑2) vs Rangers (20‑19‑6) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jackets (18‑18‑7) vs Avalanche (32‑4‑7) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Red Wings (26‑15‑4) vs Canadiens (25‑13‑6) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Wild (26‑11‑8) vs Islanders (24‑15‑5) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 47% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 8% | ||