The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (34‑14‑4) vs Bruins (32‑20‑3) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 75% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Avalanche (35‑8‑9) vs Red Wings (32‑17‑6) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 70% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (24‑21‑9) vs Canucks (18‑31‑5) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blues (20‑25‑9) vs Blue Jackets (26‑20‑7) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes (33‑15‑5) vs Capitals (26‑22‑7) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kings (22‑17‑13) vs Flyers (24‑20‑9) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Jets (21‑25‑7) vs Panthers (28‑22‑3) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Predators (24‑23‑6) vs Islanders (30‑19‑5) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Senators (25‑21‑7) vs Devils (28‑24‑2) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sabres (31‑17‑5) vs Canadiens (30‑17‑7) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Penguins (27‑14‑11) vs Rangers (22‑27‑6) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||