The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (27‑13‑3) vs Flyers (22‑13‑8) |
4 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 56% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Hurricanes (28‑14‑3) vs Red Wings (27‑15‑4) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 54% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Jets (17‑22‑5) vs Islanders (25‑15‑5) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rangers (20‑20‑6) vs Kraken (20‑15‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Avalanche (33‑4‑7) vs Maple Leafs (22‑15‑7) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Canucks (16‑23‑5) vs Canadiens (25‑14‑6) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Flames (19‑22‑4) vs Blue Jackets (19‑19‑7) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Wild (26‑11‑9) vs Devils (22‑21‑2) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Panthers (23‑18‑3) vs Sabres (24‑15‑4) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ||