The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Mammoth (29‑23‑4) vs Red Wings (33‑18‑6) |
0 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 79% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blackhawks (22‑25‑9) vs Blue Jackets (28‑20‑7) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers (28‑24‑3) vs Bruins (32‑20‑4) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (25‑20‑10) vs Senators (27‑22‑7) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins (28‑15‑12) vs Sabres (32‑18‑6) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (22‑25‑8) vs Canadiens (31‑17‑8) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (22‑28‑6) vs Hurricanes (35‑15‑6) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Devils (28‑26‑2) vs Islanders (31‑21‑5) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 80% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||