The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (42‑25‑5) vs Islanders (32‑29‑10) |
2 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 36% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 19% | 33% | 39% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kings (40‑22‑9) vs Maple Leafs (43‑25‑4) |
1 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 34% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 35% | 35% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hockey Club (32‑29‑11) vs Panthers (43‑25‑3) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 35% | 27% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 34% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hurricanes (43‑24‑4) vs Canadiens (33‑29‑9) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ducks (31‑32‑8) vs Rangers (34‑32‑6) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 34% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (49‑19‑4) vs Devils (38‑28‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Canucks (34‑26‑12) vs Blue Jackets (32‑29‑9) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 34% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins (30‑34‑9) vs Red Wings (33‑33‑6) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 34% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (29‑36‑9) vs Sabres (30‑35‑6) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 35% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||