The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Stars (16‑5‑4) vs Senators (12‑8‑4) |
1 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 19% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Jets (13‑11‑0) vs Sabres (10‑11‑4) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 19% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Flyers (14‑7‑3) vs Penguins (12‑7‑5) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Devils (16‑8‑1) vs Blue Jackets (11‑9‑5) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 19% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Capitals (14‑9‑2) vs Islanders (13‑9‑3) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Hurricanes (15‑7‑2) vs Flames (9‑14‑3) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 17% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 16% | ||