The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (34‑14‑4) vs Bruins (32‑20‑3) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 78% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 69% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Avalanche (36‑8‑9) vs Red Wings (32‑18‑6) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 75% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Wild (32‑14‑10) vs Canadiens (31‑17‑7) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 75% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Penguins (28‑14‑11) vs Senators (26‑21‑7) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kings (23‑17‑13) vs Hurricanes (33‑15‑6) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sabres (31‑18‑5) vs Panthers (28‑23‑3) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 75% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Flames (22‑26‑6) vs Maple Leafs (25‑21‑9) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Devils (28‑25‑2) vs Blue Jackets (27‑20‑7) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Capitals (27‑22‑7) vs Islanders (30‑20‑5) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 73% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||