The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (0‑1‑0) vs Devils (0‑1‑0) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 5% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Blackhawks (0‑1‑1) vs Canadiens (1‑1‑0) |
1 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Bruins (2‑0‑0) vs Sabres (0‑1‑0) |
1 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Rangers (1‑1‑0) vs Penguins (2‑0‑0) |
1 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Senators (1‑0‑0) vs Panthers (2‑0‑0) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Red Wings (0‑1‑0) vs Maple Leafs (1‑0‑0) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Islanders (0‑1‑0) vs Capitals (0‑1‑0) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Blue Jackets (0‑1‑0) vs Wild (1‑0‑0) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Hurricanes (1‑0‑0) vs Flyers (0‑1‑0) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 7% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||