The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Flames (18‑20‑4) vs Canadiens (23‑13‑6) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 54% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 51% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Capitals (22‑15‑6) vs Stars (25‑10‑8) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Flyers (22‑12‑7) vs Maple Leafs (20‑15‑7) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | ||
| Canucks (16‑21‑5) vs Red Wings (25‑15‑4) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 53% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Sabres (22‑15‑4) vs Rangers (20‑18‑6) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | ||
| Hockey Club (20‑20‑3) vs Senators (20‑16‑5) |
0 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Predators (19‑19‑4) vs Islanders (24‑15‑4) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jackets (18‑17‑7) vs Golden Knights (18‑11‑12) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Ducks (21‑19‑3) vs Hurricanes (26‑14‑3) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | ||
| Penguins (20‑12‑9) vs Devils (22‑19‑2) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 52% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 8% | ||