The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (22‑13‑3) vs Ducks (21‑16‑2) |
6 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Jets (15‑18‑4) vs Red Wings (23‑14‑3) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% | ||
| Hurricanes (24‑12‑3) vs Canadiens (21‑12‑6) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% | ||
| Oilers (20‑14‑6) vs Bruins (20‑18‑2) |
1 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% | ||
| Flames (17‑18‑4) vs Flyers (20‑11‑7) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 23% | ||
| Stars (25‑7‑7) vs Sabres (20‑14‑4) |
1 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% | ||
| Islanders (22‑14‑4) vs Hockey Club (18‑19‑3) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 23% | ||
| Rangers (19‑17‑5) vs Capitals (20‑14‑5) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% | ||
| Devils (20‑17‑2) vs Blue Jackets (17‑15‑6) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 23% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 22% | ||