The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Canadiens (25‑26‑5) vs Senators (29‑23‑4) |
1 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 27% | 33% | 11% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Wild (33‑19‑4) vs Red Wings (28‑22‑5) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 27% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 31% | 12% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Ducks (24‑24‑6) vs Bruins (27‑24‑6) |
1 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 27% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Kraken (24‑29‑4) vs Panthers (34‑20‑3) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Stars (35‑18‑2) vs Devils (31‑20‑6) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Capitals (36‑11‑8) vs Penguins (23‑25‑9) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 31% | 12% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Blackhawks (17‑31‑7) vs Blue Jackets (26‑22‑8) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Oilers (34‑17‑4) vs Flyers (24‑26‑7) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Rangers (27‑24‑4) vs Sabres (22‑27‑5) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 15% | 26% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Hurricanes (33‑19‑4) vs Maple Leafs (33‑20‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 27% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 26% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 8% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 26% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 8% | ||