The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (23‑15‑3) vs Bruins (21‑19‑5) |
6 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 28% | 20% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Blue Jackets (20‑17‑6) vs Flyers (19‑20‑5) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Sabres (16‑22‑5) vs Hurricanes (26‑15‑3) |
1 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 28% | 20% | 7% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Islanders (17‑18‑7) vs Senators (21‑18‑3) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 27% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Maple Leafs (27‑15‑2) vs Stars (27‑14‑1) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Avalanche (26‑17‑1) vs Rangers (20‑20‑2) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 26% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Kraken (18‑23‑3) vs Penguins (18‑19‑8) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 26% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Devils (26‑15‑4) vs Panthers (25‑16‑3) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 27% | 20% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 26% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Ducks (18‑20‑5) vs Capitals (28‑10‑5) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 28% | 19% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 27% | 20% | 7% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Sharks (13‑26‑6) vs Red Wings (20‑18‑4) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Hockey Club (18‑17‑7) vs Canadiens (20‑18‑4) |
0 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 28% | 21% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 26% | 27% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 27% | 19% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||