The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (32‑13‑4) vs Blue Jackets (23‑20‑7) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 75% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Islanders (27‑18‑5) vs Sabres (28‑17‑5) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jets (20‑23‑7) vs Red Wings (31‑16‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 74% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 70% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Wild (29‑14‑9) vs Panthers (26‑20‑3) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Devils (27‑22‑2) vs Kraken (22‑19‑9) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canucks (17‑29‑5) vs Penguins (25‑14‑11) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Capitals (25‑21‑6) vs Oilers (25‑19‑8) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bruins (29‑20‑2) vs Canadiens (28‑16‑7) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 71% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Senators (23‑20‑7) vs Hurricanes (31‑15‑5) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (24‑18‑9) vs Avalanche (34‑6‑9) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 72% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||