The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (23‑13‑3) vs Kings (16‑13‑9) |
6 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 37% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 21% | ||
| Jets (15‑19‑4) vs Maple Leafs (18‑15‑6) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Rangers (19‑18‑5) vs Panthers (21‑15‑3) |
1 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Hockey Club (18‑19‑3) vs Islanders (22‑14‑4) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 19% | ||
| Red Wings (24‑14‑3) vs Penguins (17‑12‑9) |
1 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Capitals (21‑14‑5) vs Senators (18‑15‑5) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Canadiens (21‑12‑6) vs Hurricanes (24‑12‑3) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 18% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 36% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 18% | ||