The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (29‑13‑4) vs Stars (27‑12‑9) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 55% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Jets (19‑22‑5) vs Maple Leafs (23‑16‑8) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 59% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Senators (22‑19‑5) vs Canadiens (26‑15‑7) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Blackhawks (19‑21‑7) vs Bruins (27‑19‑2) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rangers (20‑22‑6) vs Flyers (22‑16‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 59% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Devils (24‑21‑2) vs Hurricanes (29‑15‑4) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 61% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Islanders (26‑16‑5) vs Flames (20‑23‑4) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Wild (26‑13‑9) vs Sabres (26‑16‑4) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 59% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Capitals (24‑18‑6) vs Panthers (24‑19‑3) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Penguins (22‑14‑10) vs Blue Jackets (21‑19‑7) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 60% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 60% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||