The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Oilers (29‑24‑8) vs Senators (29‑22‑8) |
0 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (23‑29‑7) vs Blue Jackets (29‑21‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Predators (27‑24‑8) vs Red Wings (34‑20‑6) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 77% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (27‑21‑11) vs Maple Leafs (27‑24‑9) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders (34‑21‑5) vs Panthers (30‑26‑3) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins (30‑15‑13) vs Golden Knights (28‑17‑14) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hurricanes (38‑15‑6) vs Kraken (28‑22‑9) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 76% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 76% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||