The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Avalanche (31‑2‑7) vs Panthers (21‑16‑3) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Senators (20‑15‑5) vs Red Wings (24‑15‑4) |
1 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 50% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Stars (25‑9‑7) vs Canadiens (22‑13‑6) |
1 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Capitals (21‑15‑6) vs Ducks (21‑17‑3) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Blue Jackets (18‑16‑6) vs Penguins (19‑12‑9) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Canucks (16‑20‑5) vs Sabres (21‑15‑4) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 49% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Rangers (20‑18‑5) vs Hockey Club (19‑20‑3) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Hurricanes (24‑14‑3) vs Devils (22‑17‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 48% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 11% | ||