The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (21‑13‑3) vs Canadiens (20‑12‑5) |
6 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 33% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Blackhawks (14‑17‑6) vs Penguins (15‑12‑9) |
1 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 26% | ||
| Blues (15‑16‑8) vs Sabres (19‑14‑4) |
1 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Maple Leafs (17‑15‑5) vs Red Wings (22‑14‑3) |
1 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Hurricanes (23‑11‑3) vs Rangers (19‑17‑4) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Flyers (19‑10‑7) vs Kraken (15‑14‑6) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Flames (16‑18‑4) vs Bruins (20‑18‑1) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Capitals (20‑13‑5) vs Panthers (20‑15‑2) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||
| Islanders (21‑13‑4) vs Blue Jackets (15‑15‑6) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 6% | 25% | ||