The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Oilers (23‑16‑8) vs Islanders (25‑16‑5) |
1 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Flyers (22‑14‑8) vs Sabres (24‑16‑4) |
1 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Senators (21‑19‑5) vs Rangers (20‑21‑6) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Blue Jackets (20‑19‑7) vs Canucks (16‑25‑5) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Kraken (21‑15‑8) vs Devils (23‑21‑2) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Sharks (23‑19‑3) vs Capitals (24‑17‑6) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 65% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 66% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 64% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||