The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Kraken (23‑19‑9) vs Capitals (25‑21‑7) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Mammoth (27‑21‑4) vs Panthers (28‑20‑3) |
0 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 66% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Predators (24‑23‑4) vs Bruins (30‑20‑3) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jets (20‑24‑7) vs Devils (27‑23‑2) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sabres (29‑17‑5) vs Maple Leafs (24‑19‑9) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kings (21‑16‑13) vs Blue Jackets (24‑20‑7) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Golden Knights (25‑14‑12) vs Canadiens (28‑17‑7) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 67% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||