PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 3 6:15 am

NHL - Week 18 of 28

Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Picture

Where are the Maple Leafs going in the playoff? The Maple Leafs playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Maple Leafs will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team DivisionDiv Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L OTLi
Overtime Loses
GPi
Games Played
82 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 2*W + 1*OTL
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Hurricanes MetropolitanMet 34i
Hurricanes Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 24 @  Senators   4-1
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Mammoth    5-4
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Capitals   3-4
Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Kings      3-2
     Tue, Feb 03 vs Senators   
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Rangers    
     Thu, Feb 26 vs Lightning  
     Sat, Feb 28 vs Red Wings  

15 6 55 74 82% 12% 4% - - - <1% <1% 1%
Penguins MetropolitanMet 28
Penguins Recent Games

Won  Sun, Jan 25 @  Canucks    3-2
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Blackhawks 6-2
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Rangers    6-5
Lost Mon, Feb 02 vs Senators   2-3
     Tue, Feb 03 @  Islanders  
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Sabres     
     Thu, Feb 26 vs Devils     
     Sat, Feb 28 @  Rangers    

15 11 54 67 9% 32% 21% - - - 2% 3% 33%
Islanders MetropolitanMet 30
Islanders Recent Games

Won  Wed, Jan 28 vs Rangers    5-2
Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Rangers    2-1
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Predators  3-4
Lost Mon, Feb 02 @  Capitals   1-4
     Tue, Feb 03 vs Penguins   
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Devils     
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Canadiens  
     Sat, Feb 28 @  B. Jackets 

21 5 56 65 6% 26% 24% - - - 2% 4% 38%
Lightning AtlanticAtl 35
Lightning Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 24 @  B. Jackets 5-8
Won  Mon, Jan 26 vs Mammoth    2-0
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Jets       4-1
Won  Sun, Feb 01 vs Bruins     6-5
     Tue, Feb 03 vs Sabres     
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Panthers   
     Wed, Feb 25 vs M. Leafs   
     Thu, Feb 26 @  H.canes    

14 4 53 74 - - - 76% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Red Wings AtlanticAtl 33
Red Wings Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Kings      1-3
Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Capitals   3-4
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Avalanche  0-5
Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Avalanche  2-0
     Wed, Feb 04 @  Mammoth    
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Senators   
     Sat, Feb 28 @  H.canes    
     Mon, Mar 02 @  Predators  

18 6 57 72 - - - 7% 27% 24% 17% 12% 13%
Canadiens AtlanticAtl 31
Canadiens Recent Games

Won  Tue, Jan 27 vs G. Knights 3-2
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Avalanche  7-3
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Sabres     4-2
Lost Mon, Feb 02 @  Wild       3-4
     Wed, Feb 04 @  Jets       
     Thu, Feb 26 vs Islanders  
     Sat, Feb 28 vs Capitals   
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Sharks     

17 8 56 70 - - - 4% 17% 21% 20% 16% 20%
Sabres AtlanticAtl 32
Sabres Recent Games

Won  Tue, Jan 27 @  M. Leafs   7-4
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Kings      4-1
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Canadiens  2-4
Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Panthers   5-3
     Tue, Feb 03 @  Lightning  
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Penguins   
     Wed, Feb 25 @  Devils     
     Fri, Feb 27 @  Panthers   

18 5 55 69 - - - 9% 24% 23% 18% 12% 13%
Bruins AtlanticAtl 32
Bruins Recent Games

Lost Mon, Jan 26 @  Rangers    3-4
Won  Tue, Jan 27 vs Predators  3-2
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Flyers     6-3
Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Lightning  5-6
     Wed, Feb 04 @  Panthers   
     Thu, Feb 26 vs B. Jackets 
     Sat, Feb 28 @  Flyers     
     Tue, Mar 03 vs Penguins   

20 4 56 68 - - - 4% 15% 19% 19% 16% 27%
 
Capitals MetropolitanMet 28
Capitals Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 27 @  Kraken     1-5
Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Red Wings  4-3
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs H.canes    4-3
Won  Mon, Feb 02 vs Islanders  4-1
     Tue, Feb 03 @  Flyers     
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Predators  
     Wed, Feb 25 vs Flyers     
     Fri, Feb 27 vs G. Knights 

22 7 57 63 1% 11% 17% - - - 2% 4% 66%
Blue Jackets MetropolitanMet 27
Blue Jackets Recent Games

     Mon, Jan 26 vs Kings      
Won  Wed, Jan 28 vs Flyers     5-3
Won  Fri, Jan 30 @  Blackhawks 4-2
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Blues      5-3
     Tue, Feb 03 @  Devils     
     Wed, Feb 04 vs Blackhawks 
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Bruins     
     Sat, Feb 28 vs Islanders  

20 7 54 61 2% 9% 15% - - - 2% 4% 67%
Senators AtlanticAtl 27
Senators Recent Games

Won  Sun, Jan 25 vs G. Knights 7-1
Won  Wed, Jan 28 vs Avalanche  5-2
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Devils     4-1
Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Penguins   3-2
     Tue, Feb 03 @  H.canes    
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Flyers     
     Thu, Feb 26 vs Red Wings  
     Sat, Feb 28 @  M. Leafs   

21 7 55 61 - - - <1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 82%
Maple Leafs AtlanticAtl 26
Maple Leafs Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Sabres     4-7
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Kraken     2-5
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Canucks    3-2
Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Flames     4-2
     Tue, Feb 03 @  Oilers     
     Wed, Feb 25 @  Lightning  
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Panthers   
     Sat, Feb 28 vs Senators   

21 9 56 61 - - - <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 92%
Panthers AtlanticAtl 28
Panthers Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Mammoth    3-4
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Blues      4-5
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Jets       1-2
Lost Mon, Feb 02 vs Sabres     3-5
     Wed, Feb 04 vs Bruins     
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Lightning  
     Thu, Feb 26 vs M. Leafs   
     Fri, Feb 27 vs Sabres     

24 3 55 59 - - - <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 83%
Flyers MetropolitanMet 24
Flyers Recent Games

Lost Mon, Jan 26 vs Islanders  0-4
Lost Wed, Jan 28 @  B. Jackets 3-5
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Bruins     3-6
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Kings      2-3
     Tue, Feb 03 vs Capitals   
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Senators   
     Wed, Feb 25 @  Capitals   
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Rangers    

20 10 54 58 <1% 3% 6% - - - 1% 2% 88%
Devils MetropolitanMet 28
Devils Recent Games

Lost Sun, Jan 25 @  Kraken     2-4
Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Jets       3-4
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Predators  3-2
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Senators   1-4
     Tue, Feb 03 vs B. Jackets 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Islanders  
     Wed, Feb 25 vs Sabres     
     Thu, Feb 26 @  Penguins   

25 2 55 58 1% 7% 12% - - - 2% 3% 75%
Rangers MetropolitanMet 22
Rangers Recent Games

Won  Mon, Jan 26 vs Bruins     4-3
Lost Wed, Jan 28 @  Islanders  2-5
Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Islanders  1-2
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Penguins   5-6
     Thu, Feb 05 vs H.canes    
     Thu, Feb 26 vs Flyers     
     Sat, Feb 28 vs Penguins   
     Mon, Mar 02 vs B. Jackets 

28 6 56 50 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs


(12) Maple Leafs 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(<1%)
Away
(8%)
Opponent W L OTL Pts
(1)Lightning 35 14 4 74 3% <1% 3%
(1)Hurricanes 34 15 6 74 2% <1% 2%
(2)Red Wings 33 18 6 72 1% <1% 1%
(7)Sabres 32 18 5 69 1% <1% 1%
(3)Canadiens 31 17 8 70 <1% <1% <1%
(8)Bruins 32 20 4 68 <1% <1% <1%
(2)Penguins 28 15 11 67 <1% <1% <1%
(3)Islanders 30 21 5 65 <1% <1% <1%
(10)Blue Jackets 27 20 7 61 <1% <1% <1%
(9)Capitals 28 22 7 63 <1% <1% <1%
(11)Senators 27 21 7 61 <1% <1% <1%
(15)Devils 28 25 2 58 <1% <1% <1%
(13)Panthers 28 24 3 59 <1% <1% <1%
(14)Flyers 24 20 10 58 <1% <1% <1%
(16)Rangers 22 28 6 50 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination 92%



Maple Leafs Schedule
Current Week 18
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Canadiens
(31‑17‑8)
5‑2 Home Wed Oct 8, 7:00 pm
1 Red Wings
(33‑18‑6)
3‑6 Away Sat Oct 11, 7:00 pm
2 Red Wings
(33‑18‑6)
2‑3 Home Mon Oct 13, 2:00 pm
2 Predators
(26‑23‑6)
7‑4 Home Tue Oct 14, 7:00 pm
2 Rangers
(22‑28‑6)
2‑1 (OT) Home Thu Oct 16, 7:00 pm
2 Kraken
(26‑19‑9)
3‑4 (OT) Home Sat Oct 18, 7:00 pm
3 Devils
(28‑25‑2)
2‑5 Home Tue Oct 21, 7:00 pm
3 Sabres
(32‑18‑5)
3‑5 Away Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm
3 Sabres
(32‑18‑5)
4‑3 (OT) Home Sat Oct 25, 5:00 pm
4 Flames
(22‑27‑6)
4‑3 Home Tue Oct 28, 6:00 pm
4 Blue Jackets
(27‑20‑7)
3‑6 Away Wed Oct 29, 7:30 pm
4 Flyers
(24‑20‑10)
5‑2 Away Sat Nov 1, 7:00 pm
5 Penguins
(28‑15‑11)
4‑3 Home Mon Nov 3, 7:30 pm
5 Mammoth
(29‑23‑4)
5‑3 Home Wed Nov 5, 7:00 pm
5 Bruins
(32‑20‑4)
3‑5 Home Sat Nov 8, 7:00 pm
5 Hurricanes
(34‑15‑6)
4‑5 Home Sun Nov 9, 7:00 pm
6 Bruins
(32‑20‑4)
3‑5 Away Tue Nov 11, 7:00 pm
6 Kings
(23‑17‑14)
3‑4 (OT) Home Thu Nov 13, 7:00 pm
6 Blackhawks
(22‑25‑9)
2‑3 Away Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm
7 Blues
(20‑27‑9)
3‑2 (OT) Home Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm
7 Blue Jackets
(27‑20‑7)
2‑3 (OT) Home Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm
7 Canadiens
(31‑17‑8)
2‑5 Away Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm
8 Blue Jackets
(27‑20‑7)
2‑1 (OT) Away Wed Nov 26, 7:00 pm
8 Capitals
(28‑22‑7)
2‑4 Away Fri Nov 28, 5:00 pm
8 Penguins
(28‑15‑11)
7‑2 Away Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm
9 Panthers
(28‑24‑3)
4‑1 Away Tue Dec 2, 7:30 pm
9 Hurricanes
(34‑15‑6)
5‑1 Away Thu Dec 4, 7:00 pm
9 Canadiens
(31‑17‑8)
1‑2 (SO) Home Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm
10 Lightning
(35‑14‑4)
2‑0 Home Mon Dec 8, 7:30 pm
10 Sharks
(27‑23‑4)
2‑3 (OT) Home Thu Dec 11, 7:00 pm
10 Oilers
(28‑20‑8)
3‑6 Home Sat Dec 13, 7:00 pm
11 Blackhawks
(22‑25‑9)
3‑2 Home Tue Dec 16, 7:00 pm
11 Capitals
(28‑22‑7)
0‑4 Away Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm
11 Predators
(26‑23‑6)
3‑5 Away Sat Dec 20, 7:00 pm
11 Stars
(33‑14‑9)
1‑5 Away Sun Dec 21, 7:00 pm
12 Penguins
(28‑15‑11)
6‑3 Home Tue Dec 23, 4:00 pm
12 Senators
(27‑21‑7)
7‑5 Home Sat Dec 27, 7:00 pm
12 Red Wings
(33‑18‑6)
2‑3 (OT) Away Sun Dec 28, 7:00 pm
13 Devils
(28‑25‑2)
4‑0 Home Tue Dec 30, 7:00 pm
13 Jets
(22‑25‑8)
6‑5 Home Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm
13 Islanders
(30‑21‑5)
3‑4 (OT) Away Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm
14 Panthers
(28‑24‑3)
4‑1 Home Tue Jan 6, 7:30 pm
14 Flyers
(24‑20‑10)
2‑1 (OT) Away Thu Jan 8, 7:00 pm
14 Canucks
(18‑32‑6)
5‑0 Home Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm
15 Avalanche
(36‑9‑9)
4‑3 (OT) Away Mon Jan 12, 10:00 pm
15 Mammoth
(29‑23‑4)
1‑6 Away Tue Jan 13, 10:00 pm
15 Golden Knights
(25‑16‑14)
5‑6 (OT) Away Thu Jan 15, 9:30 pm
15 Jets
(22‑25‑8)
4‑3 (OT) Away Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm
16 Wild
(33‑14‑10)
3‑6 Home Mon Jan 19, 7:30 pm
16 Red Wings
(33‑18‑6)
1‑2 (OT) Home Wed Jan 21, 7:00 pm
16 Golden Knights
(25‑16‑14)
3‑6 Home Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm
16 Avalanche
(36‑9‑9)
1‑4 Home Sun Jan 25, 1:30 pm
17 Sabres
(32‑18‑5)
4‑7 Home Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm
17 Kraken
(26‑19‑9)
2‑5 Away Thu Jan 29, 10:00 pm
17 Canucks
(18‑32‑6)
3‑2 (SO) Away Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm
18 Flames
(22‑27‑6)
4‑2 Away Mon Feb 2, 10:00 pm
18 Oilers
(28‑20‑8)
  Away Tue Feb 3, 8:30 pm
21 Lightning
(35‑14‑4)
  Away Wed Feb 25, 7:30 pm
21 Panthers
(28‑24‑3)
  Away Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm
21 Senators
(27‑21‑7)
  Home Sat Feb 28, 7:00 pm
22 Flyers
(24‑20‑10)
  Home Mon Mar 2, 7:30 pm
22 Devils
(28‑25‑2)
  Away Wed Mar 4, 7:00 pm
22 Rangers
(22‑28‑6)
  Away Thu Mar 5, 7:00 pm
22 Lightning
(35‑14‑4)
  Home Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm
23 Canadiens
(31‑17‑8)
  Away Tue Mar 10, 7:00 pm
23 Ducks
(29‑23‑3)
  Home Thu Mar 12, 7:00 pm
23 Sabres
(32‑18‑5)
  Away Sat Mar 14, 7:00 pm
23 Wild
(33‑14‑10)
  Away Sun Mar 15, 7:30 pm
24 Islanders
(30‑21‑5)
  Home Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm
24 Hurricanes
(34‑15‑6)
  Home Fri Mar 20, 7:00 pm
24 Senators
(27‑21‑7)
  Away Sat Mar 21, 7:00 pm
25 Bruins
(32‑20‑4)
  Away Tue Mar 24, 7:00 pm
25 Rangers
(22‑28‑6)
  Home Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm
25 Blues
(20‑27‑9)
  Away Sat Mar 28, 7:00 pm
26 Ducks
(29‑23‑3)
  Away Mon Mar 30, 10:00 pm
26 Sharks
(27‑23‑4)
  Away Thu Apr 2, 10:00 pm
26 Kings
(23‑17‑14)
  Away Sat Apr 4, 7:00 pm
27 Capitals
(28‑22‑7)
  Home Wed Apr 8, 7:30 pm
27 Islanders
(30‑21‑5)
  Away Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm
27 Panthers
(28‑24‑3)
  Home Sat Apr 11, 7:00 pm
28 Stars
(33‑14‑9)
  Home Mon Apr 13, 7:30 pm
28 Senators
(27‑21‑7)
  Away Wed Apr 15, 7:30 pm