PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 1 3:00 am

NHL - Week 21 of 28

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Picture

Where are the Lightning going in the playoff? The Lightning playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Lightning will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team DivisionDiv Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L OTLi
Overtime Loses
GPi
Games Played
82 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 2*W + 1*OTL
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Hurricanes MetropolitanMet 38i
Hurricanes Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 03 vs Senators   4-3
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Rangers    2-0
Won  Thu, Feb 26 vs Lightning  5-4
Won  Sat, Feb 28 vs Red Wings  5-2
     Mon, Mar 02 @  Kraken     
     Wed, Mar 04 @  Canucks    
     Fri, Mar 06 @  Oilers     
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Flames     

15 6 59 82 91% 8% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
Penguins MetropolitanMet 30
Penguins Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 03 @  Islanders  4-5
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Sabres     5-2
Won  Thu, Feb 26 vs Devils     4-1
Lost Sat, Feb 28 @  Rangers    2-3
     Sun, Mar 01 vs G. Knights 
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Bruins     
     Thu, Mar 05 vs Sabres     
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Flyers     

15 13 58 73 4% 32% 31% - - - 3% 4% 27%
Islanders MetropolitanMet 34
Islanders Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 03 vs Penguins   5-4
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Devils     3-1
Won  Thu, Feb 26 @  Canadiens  4-3
Won  Sat, Feb 28 @  B. Jackets 4-3
     Sun, Mar 01 vs Panthers   
     Wed, Mar 04 @  Ducks      
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Kings      
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Sharks     

21 5 60 73 5% 46% 29% - - - 2% 3% 15%
Lightning AtlanticAtl 38
Lightning Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 05 vs Panthers   6-1
Won  Wed, Feb 25 vs M. Leafs   4-2
Lost Thu, Feb 26 @  H.canes    4-5
Lost Sat, Feb 28 vs Sabres     2-6
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Wild       
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Jets       
     Sat, Mar 07 @  M. Leafs   
     Sun, Mar 08 @  Sabres     

16 4 58 80 - - - 76% 15% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Sabres AtlanticAtl 35
Sabres Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Penguins   2-5
Won  Wed, Feb 25 @  Devils     2-1
Won  Fri, Feb 27 @  Panthers   3-2
Won  Sat, Feb 28 @  Lightning  6-2
     Tue, Mar 03 vs G. Knights 
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Penguins   
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Predators  
     Sun, Mar 08 vs Lightning  

19 6 60 76 - - - 13% 35% 24% 14% 7% 5%
Canadiens AtlanticAtl 33
Canadiens Recent Games

Lost Mon, Feb 02 @  Wild       3-4
Won  Wed, Feb 04 @  Jets       5-1
Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Islanders  3-4
Won  Sat, Feb 28 vs Capitals   6-2
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Sharks     
     Fri, Mar 06 @  Ducks      
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Kings      
     Tue, Mar 10 vs M. Leafs   

17 9 59 75 - - - 6% 22% 25% 19% 13% 15%
Red Wings AtlanticAtl 34
Red Wings Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 02 @  Avalanche  2-0
Lost Wed, Feb 04 @  Mammoth    1-4
Won  Thu, Feb 26 @  Senators   2-1
Lost Sat, Feb 28 @  H.canes    2-5
     Mon, Mar 02 @  Predators  
     Wed, Mar 04 vs G. Knights 
     Fri, Mar 06 vs Panthers   
     Sun, Mar 08 @  Devils     

20 6 60 74 - - - 3% 16% 24% 22% 16% 19%
Bruins AtlanticAtl 33
Bruins Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 01 @  Lightning  5-6
Lost Wed, Feb 04 @  Panthers   4-5
Won  Thu, Feb 26 vs B. Jackets 4-2
Lost Sat, Feb 28 @  Flyers     1-3
     Tue, Mar 03 vs Penguins   
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Predators  
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Capitals   
     Sun, Mar 08 @  Penguins   

21 5 59 71 - - - 2% 10% 17% 20% 20% 33%
 
Capitals MetropolitanMet 31
Capitals Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 05 vs Predators  4-2
Won  Wed, Feb 25 vs Flyers     3-1
Won  Fri, Feb 27 vs G. Knights 3-2
Lost Sat, Feb 28 @  Canadiens  2-6
     Tue, Mar 03 vs Mammoth    
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Bruins     
     Mon, Mar 09 vs Flames     
     Wed, Mar 11 @  Flyers     

24 7 62 69 <1% 6% 15% - - - 3% 6% 70%
Blue Jackets MetropolitanMet 29
Blue Jackets Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Devils     3-0
Won  Wed, Feb 04 vs Blackhawks 4-0
Lost Thu, Feb 26 @  Bruins     2-4
Lost Sat, Feb 28 vs Islanders  3-4
     Mon, Mar 02 @  Rangers    
     Tue, Mar 03 vs Predators  
     Thu, Mar 05 vs Panthers   
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Mammoth    

21 8 58 66 <1% 6% 15% - - - 3% 6% 69%
Senators AtlanticAtl 29
Senators Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 03 @  H.canes    3-4
Won  Thu, Feb 05 @  Flyers     2-1
Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Red Wings  1-2
Won  Sat, Feb 28 @  M. Leafs   5-2
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Oilers     
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Flames     
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Kraken     
     Mon, Mar 09 @  Canucks    

22 8 59 66 - - - <1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 80%
Flyers MetropolitanMet 27
Flyers Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Senators   1-2
Lost Wed, Feb 25 @  Capitals   1-3
Won  Thu, Feb 26 @  Rangers    3-2
Won  Sat, Feb 28 vs Bruins     3-1
     Mon, Mar 02 @  M. Leafs   
     Thu, Mar 05 vs Mammoth    
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Penguins   
     Mon, Mar 09 vs Rangers    

21 11 59 65 <1% 2% 7% - - - 1% 3% 87%
Panthers AtlanticAtl 30
Panthers Recent Games

Won  Wed, Feb 04 vs Bruins     5-4
Lost Thu, Feb 05 @  Lightning  1-6
Won  Thu, Feb 26 vs M. Leafs   5-1
Lost Fri, Feb 27 vs Sabres     2-3
     Sun, Mar 01 @  Islanders  
     Tue, Mar 03 @  Devils     
     Thu, Mar 05 @  B. Jackets 
     Fri, Mar 06 @  Red Wings  

26 3 59 63 - - - <1% <1% 2% 4% 8% 86%
Maple Leafs AtlanticAtl 27
Maple Leafs Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 03 @  Oilers     5-2
Lost Wed, Feb 25 @  Lightning  2-4
Lost Thu, Feb 26 @  Panthers   1-5
Lost Sat, Feb 28 vs Senators   2-5
     Mon, Mar 02 vs Flyers     
     Wed, Mar 04 @  Devils     
     Thu, Mar 05 @  Rangers    
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Lightning  

24 9 60 63 - - - <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 98%
Devils MetropolitanMet 29
Devils Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Islanders  1-3
Lost Wed, Feb 25 vs Sabres     1-2
Lost Thu, Feb 26 @  Penguins   1-4
Won  Sat, Feb 28 @  Blues      3-1
     Tue, Mar 03 vs Panthers   
     Wed, Mar 04 vs M. Leafs   
     Sat, Mar 07 vs Rangers    
     Sun, Mar 08 vs Red Wings  

29 2 60 60 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 1% 96%
Rangers MetropolitanMet 23
Rangers Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Penguins   5-6
Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs H.canes    0-2
Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Flyers     2-3
Won  Sat, Feb 28 vs Penguins   3-2
     Mon, Mar 02 vs B. Jackets 
     Thu, Mar 05 vs M. Leafs   
     Sat, Mar 07 @  Devils     
     Mon, Mar 09 @  Flyers     

29 7 59 53 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs


(1) Lightning 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(91%)
Away
(8%)
Opponent W L OTL Pts
(7)Red Wings 34 20 6 74 19% 18% 1%
(8)Bruins 33 21 5 71 18% 18% 1%
(3)Canadiens 33 17 9 75 18% 16% 2%
(2)Sabres 35 19 6 76 14% 11% 3%
(11)Senators 29 22 8 66 7% 7% <1%
(13)Panthers 30 26 3 63 5% 5% <1%
(10)Blue Jackets 29 21 8 66 4% 4% <1%
(9)Capitals 31 24 7 69 4% 4% <1%
(2)Penguins 30 15 13 73 3% 3% <1%
(3)Islanders 34 21 5 73 2% 2% <1%
(12)Flyers 27 21 11 65 2% 2% <1%
(14)Maple Leafs 27 24 9 63 1% 1% <1%
(15)Devils 29 29 2 60 1% 1% <1%
(1)Hurricanes 38 15 6 82 1% <1% 1%
(16)Rangers 23 29 7 53 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination <1%



Lightning Schedule
Current Week 22
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Senators
(29‑22‑8)
4‑5 Home Thu Oct 9, 7:00 pm
1 Devils
(29‑29‑2)
3‑5 Home Sat Oct 11, 7:00 pm
2 Bruins
(33‑21‑5)
4‑3 Away Mon Oct 13, 1:00 pm
2 Capitals
(31‑24‑7)
2‑3 (OT) Away Tue Oct 14, 7:00 pm
2 Red Wings
(34‑20‑6)
1‑2 (OT) Away Fri Oct 17, 7:00 pm
2 Blue Jackets
(29‑21‑8)
2‑3 Away Sat Oct 18, 7:00 pm
3 Blackhawks
(22‑28‑9)
2‑3 Home Thu Oct 23, 6:45 pm
3 Ducks
(32‑23‑3)
4‑3 Home Sat Oct 25, 5:00 pm
3 Golden Knights
(28‑17‑14)
2‑1 (OT) Home Sun Oct 26, 5:00 pm
4 Predators
(27‑24‑8)
5‑2 Away Tue Oct 28, 7:45 pm
4 Stars
(36‑14‑9)
2‑1 (OT) Home Thu Oct 30, 7:00 pm
4 Mammoth
(31‑24‑4)
4‑2 Away Sun Nov 2, 3:30 pm
5 Avalanche
(39‑10‑9)
2‑3 Away Tue Nov 4, 9:30 pm
5 Golden Knights
(28‑17‑14)
6‑3 Away Thu Nov 6, 10:00 pm
5 Capitals
(31‑24‑7)
3‑2 Home Sat Nov 8, 7:00 pm
6 Rangers
(23‑29‑7)
3‑7 Home Wed Nov 12, 7:00 pm
6 Panthers
(30‑26‑3)
3‑1 Away Sat Nov 15, 5:00 pm
6 Canucks
(18‑34‑7)
2‑6 Home Sun Nov 16, 5:00 pm
7 Devils
(29‑29‑2)
5‑1 Home Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm
7 Oilers
(29‑24‑8)
2‑1 (OT) Home Thu Nov 20, 7:30 pm
7 Capitals
(31‑24‑7)
5‑3 Away Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm
8 Flyers
(27‑21‑11)
3‑0 Home Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm
8 Flames
(24‑28‑6)
5‑1 Home Wed Nov 26, 7:00 pm
8 Red Wings
(34‑20‑6)
6‑3 Away Fri Nov 28, 12:00 pm
8 Rangers
(23‑29‑7)
4‑1 Away Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm
9 Islanders
(34‑21‑5)
1‑2 Away Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm
9 Penguins
(30‑15‑13)
3‑4 Home Thu Dec 4, 7:00 pm
9 Islanders
(34‑21‑5)
0‑2 Home Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm
10 Maple Leafs
(27‑24‑9)
0‑2 Away Mon Dec 8, 7:30 pm
10 Canadiens
(33‑17‑9)
6‑1 Away Tue Dec 9, 7:00 pm
10 Devils
(29‑29‑2)
8‑4 Away Thu Dec 11, 7:00 pm
10 Islanders
(34‑21‑5)
2‑3 (SO) Away Sat Dec 13, 3:30 pm
11 Panthers
(30‑26‑3)
2‑5 Home Mon Dec 15, 7:00 pm
11 Kings
(24‑21‑14)
1‑2 Home Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm
11 Hurricanes
(38‑15‑6)
6‑4 Home Sat Dec 20, 7:00 pm
12 Blues
(21‑29‑9)
4‑1 Home Mon Dec 22, 7:00 pm
12 Panthers
(30‑26‑3)
4‑2 Away Sat Dec 27, 7:00 pm
12 Canadiens
(33‑17‑9)
5‑4 (SO) Home Sun Dec 28, 5:00 pm
13 Ducks
(32‑23‑3)
4‑3 (OT) Away Wed Dec 31, 4:00 pm
13 Kings
(24‑21‑14)
5‑3 Away Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm
13 Sharks
(28‑25‑4)
7‑3 Away Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm
14 Avalanche
(39‑10‑9)
4‑2 Home Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm
14 Flyers
(27‑21‑11)
7‑2 Away Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm
15 Flyers
(27‑21‑11)
5‑1 Away Mon Jan 12, 7:00 pm
15 Penguins
(30‑15‑13)
2‑1 (SO) Away Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm
15 Blues
(21‑29‑9)
2‑3 (SO) Away Fri Jan 16, 8:00 pm
15 Stars
(36‑14‑9)
4‑1 Away Sun Jan 18, 2:00 pm
16 Sharks
(28‑25‑4)
4‑1 Home Tue Jan 20, 7:00 pm
16 Blackhawks
(22‑28‑9)
2‑1 (SO) Away Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm
16 Blue Jackets
(29‑21‑8)
5‑8 Away Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm
17 Mammoth
(31‑24‑4)
2‑0 Home Mon Jan 26, 7:00 pm
17 Jets
(23‑26‑9)
4‑1 Home Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm
17 Bruins
(33‑21‑5)
6‑5 (SO) Home Sun Feb 1, 6:30 pm
18 Sabres
(35‑19‑6)
4‑3 (OT) Home Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm
18 Panthers
(30‑26‑3)
6‑1 Home Thu Feb 5, 7:30 pm
21 Maple Leafs
(27‑24‑9)
4‑2 Home Wed Feb 25, 7:30 pm
21 Hurricanes
(38‑15‑6)
4‑5 Away Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm
21 Sabres
(35‑19‑6)
2‑6 Home Sat Feb 28, 7:00 pm
22 Wild
(35‑15‑10)
  Away Tue Mar 3, 9:30 pm
22 Jets
(23‑26‑9)
  Away Thu Mar 5, 8:00 pm
22 Maple Leafs
(27‑24‑9)
  Away Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm
22 Sabres
(35‑19‑6)
  Away Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm
23 Blue Jackets
(29‑21‑8)
  Home Tue Mar 10, 7:00 pm
23 Red Wings
(34‑20‑6)
  Home Thu Mar 12, 7:00 pm
23 Hurricanes
(38‑15‑6)
  Home Sat Mar 14, 7:00 pm
24 Kraken
(28‑22‑9)
  Away Tue Mar 17, 10:00 pm
24 Canucks
(18‑34‑7)
  Away Thu Mar 19, 10:00 pm
24 Oilers
(29‑24‑8)
  Away Sat Mar 21, 10:00 pm
24 Flames
(24‑28‑6)
  Away Sun Mar 22, 8:00 pm
25 Wild
(35‑15‑10)
  Home Tue Mar 24, 7:30 pm
25 Kraken
(28‑22‑9)
  Home Thu Mar 26, 7:00 pm
25 Senators
(29‑22‑8)
  Home Sat Mar 28, 1:00 pm
25 Predators
(27‑24‑8)
  Home Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm
26 Canadiens
(33‑17‑9)
  Home Tue Mar 31, 7:00 pm
26 Penguins
(30‑15‑13)
  Home Thu Apr 2, 7:00 pm
26 Bruins
(33‑21‑5)
  Home Sat Apr 4, 5:00 pm
27 Sabres
(35‑19‑6)
  Away Mon Apr 6, 7:00 pm
27 Senators
(29‑22‑8)
  Away Tue Apr 7, 7:00 pm
27 Canadiens
(33‑17‑9)
  Away Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm
27 Bruins
(33‑21‑5)
  Away Sat Apr 11, 12:30 pm
28 Red Wings
(34‑20‑6)
  Home Mon Apr 13, 7:00 pm
28 Rangers
(23‑29‑7)
  Home Wed Apr 15, 7:00 pm