The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (27‑15‑2) vs Stars (27‑14‑1) |
3 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 47% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 27% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Islanders (17‑18‑7) vs Senators (21‑18‑3) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Capitals (28‑10‑5) vs Ducks (18‑20‑5) |
1 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Devils (26‑15‑4) vs Panthers (25‑16‑3) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 27% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Bruins (21‑19‑5) vs Lightning (23‑15‑3) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 46% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 42% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Sabres (16‑22‑5) vs Hurricanes (26‑15‑3) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Avalanche (26‑17‑1) vs Rangers (20‑20‑2) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Red Wings (20‑18‑4) vs Sharks (13‑26‑6) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jackets (20‑17‑6) vs Flyers (19‑20‑5) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Kraken (18‑23‑3) vs Penguins (18‑19‑8) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 43% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Canadiens (20‑18‑4) vs Hockey Club (18‑17‑7) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 44% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 5% | ||