The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Hockey Club (7‑8‑3) vs Bruins (8‑9‑3) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Blackhawks (6‑12‑1) vs Panthers (12‑6‑1) |
1 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 25% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 22% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Avalanche (10‑9‑0) vs Capitals (13‑4‑1) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Senators (8‑9‑1) vs Golden Knights (11‑6‑2) |
1 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Lightning (10‑6‑1) vs Blue Jackets (7‑9‑2) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 21% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Ducks (8‑8‑2) vs Sabres (9‑9‑1) |
1 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% | ||
| Jets (16‑3‑0) vs Penguins (7‑10‑4) |
0 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Hurricanes (14‑4‑0) vs Devils (12‑7‑2) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 30% | ||
| Red Wings (7‑9‑2) vs Islanders (7‑7‑5) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Rangers (12‑4‑1) vs Flames (10‑6‑3) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 23% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 24% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 31% | ||