The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (24‑19‑9) vs Sabres (29‑17‑5) |
7 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Golden Knights (25‑14‑12) vs Canadiens (28‑17‑7) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Predators (24‑23‑4) vs Bruins (30‑20‑3) |
1 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Mammoth (27‑21‑4) vs Panthers (28‑20‑3) |
1 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Jets (20‑24‑7) vs Devils (27‑23‑2) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Capitals (25‑21‑7) vs Kraken (23‑19‑9) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Blue Jackets (24‑20‑7) vs Kings (21‑16‑13) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||