The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (43‑25‑4) vs Kings (40‑22‑9) |
2 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 35% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 20% | 32% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders (32‑29‑10) vs Lightning (42‑25‑5) |
1 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 37% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 31% | 37% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets (33‑29‑9) vs Senators (38‑28‑5) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 33% | 36% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 33% | 33% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (34‑32‑6) vs Ducks (31‑32‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 34% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 35% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Devils (38‑28‑7) vs Jets (49‑19‑4) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins (30‑34‑9) vs Red Wings (33‑33‑6) |
0 | Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 34% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 34% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (29‑36‑9) vs Sabres (30‑35‑6) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 33% | 34% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||