The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (33‑20‑2) vs Hurricanes (33‑19‑4) |
2 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 45% | 31% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 32% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Kraken (24‑29‑4) vs Panthers (34‑20‑3) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 44% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 38% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Stars (35‑18‑2) vs Devils (31‑20‑6) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 41% | 31% | 17% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Sabres (22‑27‑5) vs Rangers (27‑24‑4) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Wild (33‑19‑4) vs Red Wings (28‑22‑5) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 41% | 31% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Penguins (23‑25‑9) vs Capitals (36‑11‑8) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Canadiens (25‑26‑5) vs Senators (29‑23‑4) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 41% | 31% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Flyers (24‑26‑7) vs Oilers (34‑17‑4) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Ducks (24‑24‑6) vs Bruins (27‑24‑6) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Blackhawks (17‑31‑7) vs Blue Jackets (26‑22‑8) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 40% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 40% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||