The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (21‑18‑3) vs Islanders (17‑18‑7) |
8 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 5% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 3% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 53% | ||
| Sharks (13‑26‑6) vs Red Wings (20‑18‑4) |
2 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 51% | ||
| Ducks (18‑20‑5) vs Capitals (28‑10‑5) |
2 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Avalanche (26‑17‑1) vs Rangers (20‑20‑2) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Lightning (23‑15‑3) vs Bruins (21‑19‑5) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Hockey Club (18‑17‑7) vs Canadiens (20‑18‑4) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Hurricanes (26‑15‑3) vs Sabres (16‑22‑5) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Blue Jackets (20‑17‑6) vs Flyers (19‑20‑5) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Stars (27‑14‑1) vs Maple Leafs (27‑15‑2) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 3% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Penguins (18‑19‑8) vs Kraken (18‑23‑3) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Devils (26‑15‑4) vs Panthers (25‑16‑3) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 4% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 3% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 49% | ||