The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (2‑1‑0) vs Flyers (0‑2‑2) |
3 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 14% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Golden Knights (3‑1‑0) vs Maple Leafs (2‑2‑0) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Blackhawks (1‑3‑0) vs Islanders (1‑2‑0) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Capitals (1‑1‑0) vs Penguins (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Mammoth (3‑1‑0) vs Bruins (2‑2‑0) |
0 | Mammoth Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Canucks (2‑2‑0) vs Hurricanes (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Stars (1‑2‑0) vs Sabres (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Predators (1‑1‑1) vs Canadiens (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Wild (2‑0‑1) vs Lightning (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 17% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 16% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 16% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 45% | ||