The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (26‑21‑7) vs Penguins (28‑14‑11) |
7 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Avalanche (36‑8‑9) vs Red Wings (32‑18‑6) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Lightning (34‑14‑4) vs Bruins (32‑20‑3) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Hurricanes (33‑15‑6) vs Kings (23‑17‑13) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Maple Leafs (25‑21‑9) vs Flames (22‑26‑6) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Devils (28‑25‑2) vs Blue Jackets (27‑20‑7) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Canadiens (31‑17‑7) vs Wild (32‑14‑10) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Wild Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Panthers (28‑23‑3) vs Sabres (31‑18‑5) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 85% | ||
| Islanders (30‑20‑5) vs Capitals (27‑22‑7) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% | ||