The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (40‑27‑10) vs Lightning (48‑23‑6) |
26 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 17% | 66% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | X | X | X | 4% | 53% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jackets (38‑27‑12) vs Red Wings (40‑29‑8) |
5 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 11% | 61% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 56% | 34% | ||
| Devils (40‑34‑3) vs Flyers (39‑26‑12) |
5 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 60% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 11% | 55% | 34% | ||
| Maple Leafs (32‑31‑14) vs Capitals (39‑30‑9) |
1 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 59% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Hurricanes (49‑22‑6) vs Bruins (43‑26‑9) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 14% | 54% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 4% | 64% | 32% | ||
| Canadiens (45‑22‑10) vs Panthers (37‑37‑3) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | X | X | X | 10% | 59% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 31% | ||
| Rangers (33‑36‑9) vs Sabres (47‑23‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | 10% | 58% | 32% | ||