The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (11‑6‑2) vs Avalanche (11‑6‑2) |
4 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 43% | ||
| Flames (8‑9‑1) vs Rangers (10‑8‑1) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Kings (5‑9‑2) vs Islanders (7‑6‑4) |
1 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Oilers (13‑3‑3) vs Flyers (5‑10‑5) |
1 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Devils (13‑6‑0) vs Capitals (10‑6‑0) |
1 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 15% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Wild (13‑3‑4) vs Maple Leafs (8‑10‑2) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Canadiens (11‑3‑4) vs Bruins (13‑4‑1) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Hurricanes (14‑3‑2) vs Kraken (9‑6‑1) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Red Wings (7‑9‑3) vs Panthers (10‑7‑2) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Sharks (8‑11‑1) vs Penguins (6‑10‑2) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| Lightning (11‑4‑2) vs Sabres (8‑6‑3) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 11% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||