The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (22‑19‑6) vs Red Wings (29‑16‑4) |
6 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 91% | ||
| Wild (27‑13‑9) vs Maple Leafs (24‑16‑8) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 89% | ||
| Flyers (22‑17‑8) vs Golden Knights (24‑11‑12) |
1 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Flames (21‑23‑4) vs Devils (24‑22‑2) |
1 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Canucks (16‑27‑5) vs Islanders (26‑17‑5) |
0 | Canucks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Hurricanes (30‑15‑4) vs Sabres (26‑16‑5) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Sharks (24‑20‑3) vs Panthers (25‑19‑3) |
0 | Sharks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Penguins (22‑14‑11) vs Kraken (21‑17‑9) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Avalanche (33‑5‑8) vs Capitals (24‑19‑6) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 89% | ||
| Rangers (21‑22‑6) vs Ducks (24‑21‑3) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Stars (27‑12‑9) vs Lightning (29‑13‑4) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 88% | ||