The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (4‑2‑0) vs Kraken (5‑2‑0) |
1 | Lightning Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Kraken Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Rangers (6‑2‑0) vs Devils (3‑3‑0) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Devils Wins | 16% | 15% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Sabres (3‑3‑1) vs Maple Leafs (3‑3‑1) |
1 | Sabres Wins | 15% | 16% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Avalanche (4‑2‑1) vs Penguins (3‑3‑1) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | 16% | 16% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Islanders (3‑3‑0) vs Senators (5‑2‑0) |
0 | Islanders Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Senators Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Panthers (3‑2‑2) vs Canucks (2‑6‑0) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Canucks Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Bruins (5‑2‑0) vs Ducks (4‑2‑0) |
0 | Bruins Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Ducks Wins | 16% | 16% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Red Wings (1‑3‑2) vs Flyers (0‑5‑3) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% | ||