The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (39‑30‑9) vs Maple Leafs (32‑31‑14) |
12 | Capitals Wins | X | X | 10% | - | - | - | <1% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | X | X | 2% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 98% | ||
| Devils (40‑34‑3) vs Flyers (39‑26‑12) |
5 | Devils Wins | X | X | 9% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Flyers Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 94% | ||
| Lightning (48‑23‑6) vs Senators (40‑27‑10) |
2 | Lightning Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 3% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Senators Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% | ||
| Red Wings (40‑29‑8) vs Blue Jackets (38‑27‑12) |
1 | Red Wings Wins | X | X | 7% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Canadiens (45‑22‑10) vs Panthers (37‑37‑3) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Panthers Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Hurricanes (49‑22‑6) vs Bruins (43‑26‑9) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Bruins Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | X | 2% | 92% | ||
| Rangers (33‑36‑9) vs Sabres (47‑23‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||
| Sabres Wins | X | X | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 92% | ||