The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Jets (28‑29‑11) vs Penguins (34‑18‑16) |
3 | Jets Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Penguins Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 89% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑28‑13) vs Senators (35‑24‑9) |
3 | Maple Leafs Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Senators Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Kraken (31‑28‑9) vs Blue Jackets (36‑21‑11) |
2 | Kraken Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Sharks (32‑29‑6) vs Flyers (33‑23‑12) |
1 | Sharks Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Flyers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Kings (28‑24‑16) vs Sabres (43‑20‑6) |
0 | Kings Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Sabres Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Islanders (39‑25‑5) vs Canadiens (37‑21‑10) |
0 | Islanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Flames (27‑34‑7) vs Panthers (34‑31‑3) |
0 | Flames Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Red Wings (38‑23‑8) vs Bruins (38‑23‑8) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Bruins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Oilers (34‑27‑9) vs Lightning (42‑21‑4) |
0 | Oilers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Lightning Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||