The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (2‑1‑0) vs Rangers (4‑1‑0) |
3 | Capitals Wins | 19% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Blackhawks (1‑3‑0) vs Islanders (1‑2‑0) |
1 | Blackhawks Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Kraken (2‑2‑0) vs Red Wings (1‑2‑0) |
1 | Kraken Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Golden Knights (3‑1‑0) vs Maple Leafs (2‑2‑0) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Canucks (2‑2‑0) vs Hurricanes (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Canucks Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Wild (2‑0‑1) vs Lightning (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Wild Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Lightning Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Bruins (2‑2‑0) vs Mammoth (3‑1‑0) |
0 | Bruins Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Mammoth Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Canadiens (1‑1‑1) vs Predators (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 5% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Predators Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Senators (2‑1‑0) vs Flyers (0‑2‑2) |
0 | Senators Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Stars (1‑2‑0) vs Sabres (2‑1‑0) |
0 | Stars Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Sabres Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jackets (1‑1‑0) vs Penguins (2‑2‑0) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | 19% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | - | - | - | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||