The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (33‑27‑7) vs Bruins (36‑23‑6) |
11 | Capitals Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Bruins Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 2% | 90% | ||
| Mammoth (34‑26‑6) vs Penguins (32‑18‑15) |
2 | Mammoth Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Penguins Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Flyers (31‑23‑11) vs Blue Jackets (33‑21‑11) |
2 | Flyers Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Kings (26‑23‑15) vs Islanders (37‑23‑5) |
2 | Kings Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Islanders Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Ducks (36‑26‑3) vs Senators (32‑23‑9) |
1 | Ducks Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Senators Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Stars (41‑14‑10) vs Red Wings (36‑23‑7) |
1 | Stars Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 84% | ||
| Lightning (40‑20‑4) vs Hurricanes (41‑18‑6) |
0 | Lightning Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 3% | 84% | ||
| Wild (38‑16‑12) vs Rangers (27‑30‑8) |
0 | Wild Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Sharks (31‑26‑6) vs Canadiens (36‑18‑10) |
0 | Sharks Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Sabres (40‑20‑6) vs Maple Leafs (28‑27‑11) |
0 | Sabres Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | - | - | - | 1% | 4% | 84% | ||