The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (36‑28‑9) vs Golden Knights (32‑26‑15) |
7 | Capitals Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 97% | ||
| Sharks (32‑31‑7) vs Blue Jackets (38‑23‑11) |
2 | Sharks Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 95% | ||
| Stars (43‑18‑11) vs Penguins (36‑20‑16) |
2 | Stars Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Penguins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 95% | ||
| Panthers (35‑33‑3) vs Islanders (41‑27‑5) |
1 | Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Islanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Predators (34‑29‑9) vs Canadiens (40‑21‑10) |
1 | Predators Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 95% | ||
| Lightning (44‑21‑6) vs Senators (38‑24‑10) |
1 | Lightning Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Senators Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Devils (37‑32‑2) vs Hurricanes (45‑20‑6) |
0 | Devils Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Kraken (32‑29‑10) vs Sabres (44‑21‑8) |
0 | Kraken Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Sabres Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Wild (41‑20‑12) vs Bruins (40‑24‑8) |
0 | Wild Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Bruins Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Red Wings (39‑25‑8) vs Flyers (35‑24‑12) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Flyers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Maple Leafs (31‑29‑13) vs Blues (30‑30‑11) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Blues Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||