The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (8‑6‑0) vs Panthers (9‑5‑2) |
4 | Capitals Wins | 16% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 13% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 44% | ||
| Maple Leafs (8‑7‑2) vs Canadiens (10‑3‑3) |
1 | Maple Leafs Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | 15% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 43% | ||
| Flames (7‑9‑1) vs Flyers (4‑10‑4) |
1 | Flames Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Kings (5‑7‑2) vs Penguins (5‑9‑2) |
1 | Kings Wins | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 15% | 17% | 15% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 43% | ||
| Kraken (9‑5‑1) vs Rangers (9‑7‑1) |
1 | Kraken Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 14% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Red Wings (7‑7‑3) vs Avalanche (9‑6‑2) |
1 | Red Wings Wins | 14% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | 14% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Mammoth (10‑6‑1) vs Senators (10‑6‑1) |
1 | Mammoth Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Senators Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Blackhawks (4‑12‑1) vs Hurricanes (13‑3‑2) |
1 | Blackhawks Wins | 16% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Lightning (10‑3‑2) vs Wild (12‑3‑3) |
0 | Lightning Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Wild Wins | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Devils (11‑5‑0) vs Islanders (7‑6‑2) |
0 | Devils Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 14% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Golden Knights (11‑5‑2) vs Sabres (8‑5‑3) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||
| Sabres Wins | 15% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 42% | ||