The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (39‑30‑9) vs Maple Leafs (32‑31‑14) |
6 | Capitals Wins | X | X | 4% | - | - | - | X | 2% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | X | X | <1% | - | - | - | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Wings (40‑29‑9) vs Flyers (40‑26‑12) |
3 | Red Wings Wins | X | X | 4% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Flyers Wins | X | X | 1% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 98% | ||
| Panthers (37‑37‑4) vs Senators (41‑27‑10) |
2 | Panthers Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Senators Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | <1% | 97% | ||
| Devils (40‑35‑3) vs Penguins (40‑22‑16) |
0 | Devils Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Penguins Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Rangers (33‑36‑9) vs Sabres (47‑23‑8) |
0 | Rangers Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Sabres Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Canadiens (46‑22‑10) vs Lightning (48‑24‑6) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Lightning Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Blackhawks (28‑36‑14) vs Hurricanes (50‑22‑6) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | X | X | 3% | - | - | - | X | 1% | 96% | ||