The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (30‑23‑7) vs Golden Knights (28‑16‑14) |
13 | Capitals Wins | 1% | 11% | 19% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | <1% | 6% | 14% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 72% | ||
| Canadiens (32‑17‑8) vs Islanders (32‑21‑5) |
2 | Canadiens Wins | <1% | 10% | 17% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Islanders Wins | <1% | 8% | 15% | - | - | - | 4% | 6% | 67% | ||
| Devils (28‑28‑2) vs Penguins (29‑15‑12) |
1 | Devils Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Penguins Wins | <1% | 8% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Bruins (32‑20‑5) vs Blue Jackets (29‑20‑7) |
1 | Bruins Wins | <1% | 9% | 18% | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Maple Leafs (27‑22‑9) vs Panthers (29‑25‑3) |
1 | Maple Leafs Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Hurricanes (36‑15‑6) vs Lightning (38‑14‑4) |
1 | Hurricanes Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Lightning Wins | <1% | 8% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Senators (28‑22‑7) vs Red Wings (33‑19‑6) |
1 | Senators Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 65% | ||
| Rangers (22‑29‑6) vs Flyers (25‑21‑11) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 6% | 66% | ||
| Flyers Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | - | - | - | 3% | 5% | 65% | ||