The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (18‑9‑3) vs Hurricanes (18‑9‑2) |
5 | Capitals Wins | 26% | 19% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 21% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 9% | 26% | ||
| Golden Knights (14‑6‑9) vs Flyers (16‑9‑3) |
1 | Golden Knights Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 23% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Penguins (14‑7‑7) vs Canadiens (15‑11‑3) |
1 | Penguins Wins | 24% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Canucks (11‑16‑3) vs Sabres (12‑14‑4) |
1 | Canucks Wins | 24% | 19% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Sabres Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Oilers (13‑11‑6) vs Red Wings (17‑11‑3) |
1 | Oilers Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | 24% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Avalanche (21‑2‑7) vs Panthers (15‑12‑2) |
0 | Avalanche Wins | 24% | 19% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Ducks (19‑10‑1) vs Islanders (17‑11‑3) |
0 | Ducks Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Senators (13‑12‑4) vs Blue Jackets (13‑11‑6) |
0 | Senators Wins | 24% | 18% | 16% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Lightning (17‑11‑2) vs Devils (17‑12‑1) |
0 | Lightning Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Devils Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Jets (14‑14‑1) vs Bruins (18‑13‑0) |
0 | Jets Wins | 24% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Bruins Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Sharks (14‑14‑3) vs Maple Leafs (14‑11‑4) |
0 | Sharks Wins | 24% | 19% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | 24% | 19% | 16% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||