How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | NCAA Football National Champions |
Championship Game Participate |
Semifinals | Quarterfinals | Round 1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | |||||
| Iowa St. | 1 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 22% |
| W. Kentucky | 1 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 19% |
| Rutgers | 1 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 18% |
| South Florida | 1 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% |
| Hawaii | 1 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% |
| Kansas | 1 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% |
| Bowling Green | 1 | 0 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 16% |
| UNLV | 1 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% |
| Arizona St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% |
| Oregon | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% |
| Kennesaw St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| LSU | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| New Mexico St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| Penn St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| Air Force | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Central Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Florida Atlantic | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Illinois | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Louisiana Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Memphis | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Miami OH | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| North Texas | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Ohio St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Rice | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Tulane | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Western Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UTEP | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
| Akron | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Alabama | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Arizona | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Arkansas St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| BYU | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Ball State | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Buffalo | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Charlotte | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Cincinnati | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Clemson | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Coastal Carolina | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Colorado | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Colorado St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Duke | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| East Carolina | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Eastern Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Florida | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Florida Intl. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Georgia | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Georgia St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Houston | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Indiana | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Iowa | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| James Madison | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Kent State | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| LA Monroe | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Liberty | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Marshall | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Maryland | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Miami | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Middle Tenn. St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Minnesota | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Nebraska | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Nevada | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Northern Illinois | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Oklahoma | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Oklahoma St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Old Dominion | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Ole Miss | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Purdue | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| South Alabama | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| South Carolina | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Southern Miss | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| TCU | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Temple | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Texas | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Texas A&M | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Texas St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Texas Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Toledo | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Troy | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Tulsa | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UAB | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UCLA | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UL Lafayette | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UMass | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| USC | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| UTSA | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Utah | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Washington | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| West Virginia | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Wisconsin | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Wyoming | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% |
| Auburn | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| Ga. Southern | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| Kentucky | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| Missouri | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| San José State | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| UCF | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| Vanderbilt | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% |
| Arkansas | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Baylor | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Boston College | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| California | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Florida St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Georgia Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Louisville | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Michigan St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| N.C. State | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| North Carolina | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| SMU | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| San Diego State | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Syracuse | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Utah St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Virginia | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Virginia Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Wake Forest | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| Black Knights | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Navy | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Notre Dame | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| UConn | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Washington St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
| Oregon St. | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| Boise State | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Fresno State | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Ohio | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Sam Houston | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Stanford | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
| Kansas St. | 0 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Delaware | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X |
| Missouri St. | 0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X |