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Tue Jan 14 9:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 10 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 41 and 42. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - UConn, Baylor, St. Mary's, Missouri, New Mexico, Iowa
First 6 teams out - Vanderbilt, Arizona St., Creighton, Drake, San Diego St., SMU

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Auburn SECSEC 109 15 1 100% >99% 1%
2 Alabama SECSEC 106 14 2 100% >99% <1%
3 Oregon Big 10Big 10 101 15 2 100% >99% X
4 Tennessee SECSEC 99 15 1 100% >99% X
5 Florida SECSEC 98 15 1 100% >99% X
6 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 13 3 100% >99% X
7 Duke ACCACC 96 14 2 100% >99% X
8 Marquette Big EastBig East 96 14 2 100% >99% X
9 Kansas Big 12Big 12 95 12 3 100% 99% X
10 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 95 13 1 100% 98% X
11 Texas A&M SECSEC 95 13 3 100% 98% X
12 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 95 14 2 100% 98% X
13 Purdue Big 10Big 10 95 13 4 100% 99% X
14 Michigan Big 10Big 10 94 13 3 100% 98% X
15 Kentucky SECSEC 93 13 3 100% 97% X
16 Ole Miss SECSEC 92 14 2 100% 96% X
17 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 92 14 2 100% 95% X
18 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 91 16 1 100% 98% X
19 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 90 13 3 100% 91% X
20 Georgia SECSEC 89 14 2 100% 89% X
21 Louisville ACCACC 87 12 5 100% 85% X
22 Houston Big 12Big 12 86 12 3 100% 79% X
23 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 86 12 4 100% 78% X
24 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 85 15 2 100% 87% X
25 Illinois Big 10Big 10 85 12 4 100% 74% X
26 St. John's Big EastBig East 85 14 3 100% 78% X
27 Indiana Big 10Big 10 84 13 4 100% 72% X
28 Clemson ACCACC 84 13 4 100% 75% X
29 Pittsburgh ACCACC 84 12 4 100% 74% X
30 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 84 11 3 100% 70% X
31 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 83 14 5 100% 73% X
32 Oklahoma SECSEC 83 13 3 100% 66% X
33 UCF Big 12Big 12 82 11 4 100% 62% X
34 Arizona Big 12Big 12 82 10 4 100% 60% X
35 North Carolina ACCACC 82 11 6 100% 62% X
36 UConn Big EastBig East 82 14 4 100% 62% X
37 Baylor Big 12Big 12 81 11 4 100% 55% X
38 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 80 15 3 100% 56% X
39 Missouri SECSEC 80 13 3 100% 50% X
40 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 79 14 3 100% 53% X
41 Iowa Big 10Big 10 79 12 4 100% 45% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 84 Line Movers
42 Vanderbilt SECSEC 79 13 3 100% 43% X
43 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 78 10 5 100% 45% X
44 Creighton Big EastBig East 77 10 6 100% 41% X
45 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 77 14 2 100% 46% X
46 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 77 10 4 100% 41% X
47 SMU ACCACC 77 12 4 100% 36% X
48 Maryland Big 10Big 10 76 13 4 100% 33% X
49 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 76 14 3 100% 40% X
50 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 76 10 6 100% 32% X
51 Wake Forest ACCACC 75 12 4 100% 29% X
52 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 75 14 3 100% 31% X
53 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 74 11 4 100% 26% X
54 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 74 13 5 >99% 23% X
55 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 73 13 3 100% 27% X
56 Penn State Big 10Big 10 73 12 5 100% 22% X
57 Georgetown Big EastBig East 73 12 4 100% 24% X
58 Furman SouthernSouthern 73 14 2 86% 39% X
59 UCLA Big 10Big 10 72 11 6 100% 18% X
60 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 72 14 5 >99% 18% X
61 Florida St. ACCACC 72 11 5 100% 17% X
62 Arkansas SECSEC 72 11 5 100% 17% X
63 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 72 14 3 99% 27% X
64 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 72 12 6 100% 18% X
65 Stanford ACCACC 71 11 5 100% 15% X
66 South Carolina SECSEC 70 10 6 100% 13% X
67 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 70 12 5 100% 14% X
68 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 70 11 5 100% 16% X
69 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 69 10 6 100% 11% X
70 LSU SECSEC 69 11 5 100% 10% X
71 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 69 10 4 >99% 17% X
72 Colorado Big 12Big 12 68 9 5 100% 11% X
73 USC Big 10Big 10 68 10 6 100% 9% X
74 Texas SECSEC 68 11 5 100% 9% X
75 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 68 14 3 95% 20% X
76 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 68 12 5 99% 22% X
77 Samford SouthernSouthern 68 14 3 35% 28% X
78 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 67 10 5 100% 9% X
79 Charleston CoastalCoastal 67 12 4 22% 27% X
80 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 67 12 5 <1% 30% X
81 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 67 12 5 86% 15% X
82 BYU Big 12Big 12 67 10 5 100% 8% X
83 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 67 13 5 >99% 9% X
84 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 67 12 2 <1% 38% X
85 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 67 12 4 100% 12% X
86 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 66 12 4 100% 12% X
87 TCU Big 12Big 12 66 9 6 100% 7% X
88 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 66 13 3 >99% 11% X
89 Villanova Big EastBig East 65 11 6 100% 6% X
90 Xavier Big EastBig East 65 10 7 100% 5% X
91 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 65 9 8 100% 3% X
92 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 64 13 4 77% 16% X
93 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 64 12 5 <1% 38% X
94 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 64 11 4 5% 30% X
95 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 64 12 5 >99% 9% X
96 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 63 10 6 >99% 7% X
97 Washington Big 10Big 10 63 10 7 100% 2% X
98 High Point Big SouthBig South 63 15 4 X 27% X
99 Grand Canyon WACWAC 63 11 5 X 33% X
100 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 63 12 4 89% 14% X
101 Utah Big 12Big 12 62 9 6 100% 2% X
102 Providence Big EastBig East 61 9 8 100% 3% X
103 Virginia ACCACC 61 8 8 100% 2% X
104 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 61 9 7 96% 4% X
105 Kent State MACMAC 61 11 5 <1% 21% X
106 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 61 10 4 >99% 6% X
107 Radford Big SouthBig South 61 12 6 X 22% X
108 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 60 10 6 68% 6% X
109 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 60 9 6 100% 2% X
110 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 60 9 6 95% 5% X
111 St. Thomas SummitSummit 59 14 5 X 32% X
112 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 59 9 7 >99% 4% X
113 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 59 11 6 27% 11% X
114 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 59 9 6 66% 8% X
115 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 59 14 6 X 23% X
116 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 58 10 7 23% 8% X
117 N.C. State ACCACC 58 9 7 100% 1% X
118 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 58 11 3 <1% 19% X
119 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 58 10 6 39% 4% X
120 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 58 11 6 1% 7% X
121 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 58 12 5 X 13% X
122 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 57 9 8 <1% 3% X
123 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 10 6 93% 5% X
124 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 57 11 5 9% 7% X
125 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 10 6 85% 4% X
126 Miami OH MACMAC 57 11 4 X 18% X
127 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 57 10 7 <1% 7% X
128 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 57 11 6 X 25% X
129 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 57 9 8 13% 4% X
130 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 57 12 5 X 31% X
131 Syracuse ACCACC 57 8 8 100% 1% X
132 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 57 12 5 X 16% X
133 Akron MACMAC 56 10 5 X 17% X
134 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 56 13 5 X 33% X
135 Utah Valley WACWAC 56 11 6 X 25% X
136 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 56 10 6 X 14% X
137 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 55 12 6 X 17% X
138 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 55 11 6 X 18% X
139 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 55 8 9 100% <1% X
140 Toledo MACMAC 55 9 6 X 16% X
141 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 55 9 5 X 18% X
142 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 54 10 7 2% 5% X
143 Elon CoastalCoastal 54 11 5 X 11% X
144 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 54 8 6 X 17% X
145 Notre Dame ACCACC 54 8 9 92% <1% X
146 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 54 10 6 3% 8% X
147 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 54 10 7 X 11% X
148 California ACCACC 54 8 8 >99% <1% X
149 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 54 11 6 X 22% X
150 Ohio MACMAC 54 9 6 X 14% X
151 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 53 10 7 X 12% X
152 UCSB Big WestBig West 53 11 5 <1% 5% X
153 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 53 13 6 X 20% X
154 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 53 10 7 X 24% X
155 Butler Big EastBig East 53 7 10 78% 1% X
156 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 53 12 6 X 17% X
157 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 53 10 7 X 9% X
158 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 53 7 8 100% <1% X
159 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 53 11 6 X 38% X
160 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 52 12 7 X 13% X
161 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 52 11 6 X 4% X
162 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 52 11 6 <1% 3% X
163 Longwood Big SouthBig South 52 13 6 X 14% X
164 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 52 9 7 X 16% X
165 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 52 9 7 16% 2% X
166 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 52 12 6 X 18% X
167 DePaul Big EastBig East 52 9 8 92% 1% X
168 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 52 11 6 X 13% X
169 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 51 11 7 <1% 3% X
170 California Baptist WACWAC 51 8 8 X 16% X
171 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 51 10 7 X 4% X
172 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 51 9 7 4% 2% X
173 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 51 9 8 X 9% X
174 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 51 11 7 X 11% X
175 Boston College ACCACC 51 9 8 87% <1% X
176 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 50 12 8 X 37% X
177 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 50 8 6 X 11% X
178 Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 50 9 7 X 5% X
179 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 49 11 6 X 13% X
180 Georgia Tech ACCACC 49 8 9 42% <1% X
181 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 49 9 7 X 8% X
182 Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 49 8 8 X 12% X
183 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 49 11 7 X 12% X
184 Virginia Tech ACCACC 49 7 9 82% <1% X
185 UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 49 11 6 X 10% X
186 Towson CoastalCoastal 48 8 9 X 8% X
187 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 48 10 7 X 13% X
188 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 48 10 7 X 22% X
189 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 47 10 8 X 14% X
190 Drexel CoastalCoastal 47 10 7 X 6% X
191 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 47 9 7 X 4% X
192 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 47 9 8 X 11% X
193 Wofford SouthernSouthern 47 8 8 X 7% X
194 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 47 10 7 X 6% X
195 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 47 10 7 X 7% X
196 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 46 9 8 X 33% X
197 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 46 11 6 X 21% X
198 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 46 9 8 X 1% X
199 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 46 10 8 X 6% X
200 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 46 8 9 X 10% X
201 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 46 10 7 X 6% X
202 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 45 9 8 X 6% X
203 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 45 9 8 X 2% X
204 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 45 9 9 X 7% X
205 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 8 9 X 1% X
206 UC Davis Big WestBig West 44 9 8 X 1% X
207 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 44 8 9 X 7% X
208 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 44 10 7 X 20% X
209 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 44 9 7 X 17% X
210 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 44 9 9 X 2% X
211 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 43 8 9 X 2% X
212 Hampton CoastalCoastal 43 9 8 X 4% X
213 Maine America EastAmerica East 43 10 8 X 15% X
214 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 43 10 9 X 12% X
215 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 43 10 6 X 12% X
216 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 43 9 9 X 5% X
217 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 42 6 10 38% <1% X
218 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 42 8 8 X 16% X
219 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 42 9 9 X 16% X
220 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 42 7 9 X 1% X
221 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 42 7 10 X 6% X
222 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 42 9 8 X 1% X
223 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 42 8 10 X <1% X
224 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 42 8 9 X 6% X
225 Mercer SouthernSouthern 41 9 8 X 4% X
226 Vermont America EastAmerica East 41 9 9 X 14% X
227 South Dakota SummitSummit 41 10 8 X 9% X
228 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 41 7 8 X 1% X
229 Southern Utah WACWAC 41 9 8 X 6% X
230 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 41 9 8 X 15% X
231 Oakland HorizonHorizon 41 6 12 X 5% X
232 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 40 7 10 X <1% X
233 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 40 8 8 X 6% X
234 UMKC SummitSummit 40 10 8 X 9% X
235 Bryant America EastAmerica East 40 8 9 X 13% X
236 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 40 8 9 X 3% X
237 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 39 7 9 X 5% X
238 Delaware CoastalCoastal 39 9 8 X 3% X
239 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 39 9 8 X 6% X
240 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 39 10 9 X 16% X
241 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 39 7 10 X <1% X
242 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 39 7 8 X 5% X
243 Albany America EastAmerica East 38 9 9 X 9% X
244 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 38 7 9 X 5% X
245 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 38 9 8 X 11% X
246 Abilene Christian WACWAC 38 8 9 X 5% X
247 Seattle WACWAC 37 6 10 X 5% X
248 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 37 7 9 X 3% X
249 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 37 10 7 X 7% X
250 UMBC America EastAmerica East 37 9 8 X 9% X
251 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 37 7 10 X 3% X
252 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 37 5 11 X 18% X
253 Central Michigan MACMAC 37 6 9 X 3% X
254 Ball State MACMAC 37 8 7 X 4% X
255 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 36 7 7 X 4% X
256 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 36 8 9 X 17% X
257 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 36 8 9 X 10% X
258 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 36 9 10 X 17% X
259 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 36 6 9 X 3% X
260 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 36 6 12 X <1% X
261 Tarleton St. WACWAC 36 7 11 X 5% X
262 Wagner NortheastNorth East 35 9 7 X 12% X
263 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 35 7 10 X <1% X
264 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 35 7 9 X 3% X
265 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 35 6 11 X <1% X
266 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 35 7 10 X 6% X
267 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 35 6 11 X <1% X
268 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 35 9 9 X 7% X
269 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 35 7 10 X <1% X
270 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 35 6 7 X 3% X
271 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 35 8 9 X 1% X
272 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 34 8 9 X <1% X
273 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 34 6 11 X <1% X
274 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 34 8 9 X 6% X
275 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 34 6 9 X 7% X
276 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 34 6 11 X 8% X
277 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 33 7 10 X 6% X
278 Miami ACCACC 33 4 12 <1% <1% X
279 UT Arlington WACWAC 33 7 10 X 2% X
280 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 33 8 10 X 2% X
281 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 33 6 11 X 5% X
282 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 33 9 8 X 2% X
283 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 33 6 10 X <1% X
284 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 33 7 11 X 13% X
285 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 33 7 10 X 1% X
286 Campbell CoastalCoastal 33 7 9 X 1% X
287 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 32 5 9 X 2% X
288 Detroit HorizonHorizon 32 6 13 X 2% X
289 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 32 6 10 X 3% X
290 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 32 7 10 X 6% X
291 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 32 4 13 X <1% X
292 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 32 7 9 X 6% X
293 St. Francis NortheastNorth East 32 5 11 X 9% X
294 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 31 6 11 X 7% X
295 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 31 5 10 X 1% X
296 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 31 3 13 X 12% X
297 Portland West CoastWest Coast 31 5 12 X <1% X
298 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 31 6 8 X 4% X
299 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 31 6 11 X 2% X
300 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 30 6 11 X 4% X
301 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 30 8 10 X 10% X
302 Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 30 6 10 X 2% X
303 Buffalo MACMAC 30 5 10 X 1% X
304 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 30 8 11 X 2% X
305 Utah Tech WACWAC 30 6 11 X 3% X
306 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 29 8 9 X 1% X
307 North Dakota SummitSummit 29 7 11 X 3% X
308 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 29 7 10 X 4% X
309 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 29 6 14 X <1% X
310 Bowling Green MACMAC 29 6 9 X 1% X
311 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 28 9 12 X 9% X
312 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 28 6 11 X 1% X
313 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 28 6 11 X 9% X
314 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 27 5 13 X 1% X
315 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 27 4 13 X 1% X
316 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 27 8 9 X 2% X
317 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 27 5 12 X 1% X
318 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 26 5 13 X <1% X
319 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 26 5 12 X 1% X
320 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 26 3 14 X <1% X
321 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 25 4 10 X <1% X
322 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 24 6 12 X 5% X
323 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 24 5 11 X 7% X
324 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 24 6 12 X 4% X
325 VMI SouthernSouthern 24 6 11 X <1% X
326 Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 24 7 12 X 3% X
327 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 24 5 11 X 1% X
328 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 23 3 13 X 6% X
329 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 23 4 13 X 6% X
330 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 23 5 13 X 1% X
331 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 23 4 14 X <1% X
332 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 22 6 10 X 1% X
333 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 22 3 11 X 4% X
334 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 22 8 12 X 6% X
335 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 22 5 11 X 1% X
336 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 22 4 13 X <1% X
337 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 22 3 13 X <1% X
338 IU Indy HorizonHorizon 21 6 12 X <1% X
339 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 21 6 11 X 1% X
340 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 20 5 11 X 1% X
341 Denver SummitSummit 19 6 13 X 1% X
342 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 5 12 X <1% X
343 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 19 2 15 X <1% X
344 Western Michigan MACMAC 19 3 12 X <1% X
345 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 19 4 14 X <1% X
346 Citadel SouthernSouthern 19 5 10 X <1% X
347 Northern Illinois MACMAC 19 4 11 X <1% X
348 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 4 13 X <1% X
349 West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 3 14 X <1% X
350 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 17 6 11 X 3% X
351 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 16 4 15 X 3% X
352 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 5 12 X 1% X
353 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 15 5 11 X 1% X
354 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 14 3 13 X 2% X
355 Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 14 1 17 X 1% X
356 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 12 2 16 X <1% X
357 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 12 2 15 X 1% X
358 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 12 2 16 X 2% X
359 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 11 3 15 X <1% X
360 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 3 14 X <1% X
361 NJIT America EastAmerica East 10 3 14 X <1% X
362 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 10 4 14 X <1% X
363 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 1 15 X <1% X
364 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 8 3 13 X <1% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot