PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ► NCAA Basketball ► NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Mon Mar 16 3:15 pm

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
 NPIi
NCAA Power Index
 NCAA Basketball
National Champions		 Championship Game
Participate		 Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Michigan Big 10Big 10 31 3 91 .6914 16% 26% 40% 55% 75% 95% 100%
Duke ACCACC 32 2 94 .7113 14% 24% 36% 52% 75% 93% 100%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 32 2 94 .7167 14% 22% 34% 50% 68% 95% 100%
Houston Big 12Big 12 28 6 82 .6369 4% 10% 19% 34% 58% 93% 100%
Florida SECSEC 26 7 79 .6261 4% 9% 18% 35% 61% 94% 100%
UConn Big EastBig East 29 5 85 .6302 4% 9% 17% 36% 60% 90% 100%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 27 8 77 .6231 4% 8% 15% 32% 58% 88% 100%
Virginia ACCACC 29 5 85 .6302 4% 7% 16% 35% 57% 86% 100%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 30 3 91 .6451 3% 8% 15% 33% 58% 89% 100%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 27 7 79 .6293 3% 6% 12% 29% 52% 84% 100%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 25 7 78 .6213 3% 6% 11% 27% 49% 81% 100%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 26 6 81 .6176 2% 6% 13% 24% 46% 81% 100%
St. John's Big EastBig East 28 6 82 .6160 2% 5% 11% 20% 47% 80% 100%
Arkansas SECSEC 26 8 76 .6096 2% 5% 9% 19% 47% 77% 100%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 24 8 75 .6074 2% 4% 11% 20% 43% 81% 100%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 25 8 76 .6080 2% 3% 8% 17% 34% 64% 100%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 27 4 87 .6164 1% 3% 8% 16% 30% 65% 100%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 23 10 70 .6125 1% 3% 8% 15% 37% 70% 100%
Alabama SECSEC 22 9 71 .6060 1% 3% 7% 14% 39% 71% 100%
North Carolina ACCACC 24 8 75 .6107 1% 3% 7% 14% 31% 56% 100%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 22 10 69 .6086 1% 3% 6% 13% 34% 62% 100%
BYU Big 12Big 12 23 11 68 .5947 1% 2% 5% 14% 30% 69% 100%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 24 10 71 .5984 1% 2% 5% 11% 33% 66% 100%
Louisville ACCACC 23 10 70 .5884 1% 2% 4% 11% 26% 56% 100%
Villanova Big EastBig East 24 8 75 .5880 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 50% 100%
Miami ACCACC 25 8 76 .5892 1% 1% 4% 12% 26% 60% 100%
Clemson ACCACC 24 10 71 .5869 1% 1% 4% 11% 23% 57% 100%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 27 7 79 .5958 1% 1% 4% 10% 22% 44% 100%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 28 6 82 .6078 1% 1% 4% 8% 15% 50% 100%
Tennessee SECSEC 22 11 67 .5852 1% 1% 3% 10% 23% 56% 100%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 23 11 68 .5825 1% 1% 3% 9% 20% 51% 100%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 28 5 85 .5988 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 56% 100%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 25 9 74 .5835 <1% 1% 3% 9% 22% 52% 100%
Kentucky SECSEC 21 13 62 .5696 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20% 48% 100%
UCF Big 12Big 12 21 11 66 .5791 <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 49% 100%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 25 8 76 .5823 <1% 1% 2% 7% 18% 44% 100%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 21 12 64 .5634 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 43% 100%
Akron MACMAC 29 5 85 .5838 <1% 1% 2% 5% 17% 38% 100%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 21 12 64 .5723 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 52% 100%
TCU Big 12Big 12 22 11 67 .5784 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 48% 100%
Georgia SECSEC 22 10 69 .5737 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 44% 100%
SMU ACCACC 20 13 61 .5592 <1% <1% 2% 6% 15% 44% 100%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 28 5 85 .5819 <1% <1% 2% 5% 14% 36% 100%
Missouri SECSEC 20 12 63 .5610 <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 40% 100%
Texas A&M SECSEC 21 11 66 .5603 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 35% 100%
High Point Big SouthBig South 30 4 88 .5708 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12% 34% 100%
Texas SECSEC 17 14 55 .5421 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 31% 100%
California Baptist WACWAC 25 8 76 .5629 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10% 30% 100%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 24 10 71 .5542 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10% 29% 100%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 24 8 75 .5440 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 23% 100%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 27 7 79 .5479 <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 19% 100%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 22 11 67 .5353 <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 19% 100%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 23 12 66 .5397 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 100%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 18 11 62 .5336 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 100%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 23 9 72 .5356 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 100%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 23 11 68 .5302 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 100%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 21 13 62 .5184 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12% 100%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 21 13 62 .5186 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 100%
Furman SouthernSouthern 22 12 65 .5151 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10% 100%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 23 11 68 .5273 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 100%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 21 14 60 .5016 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 100%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 18 16 53 .4805 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 100%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 24 10 71 .5281 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 100%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 23 10 70 .5104 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 100%
Miami OH MACMAC 31 1 97 .6178 X X X X X X X
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 28 5 85 .5690 X X X X X X X
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 26 6 81 .5728 X X X X X X X
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 26 7 79 .5380 X X X X X X X
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 26 7 79 .5710 X X X X X X X
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 26 6 81 .5658 X X X X X X X
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 25 7 78 .5625 X X X X X X X
Utah Valley WACWAC 25 8 76 .5615 X X X X X X X
Kent State MACMAC 24 9 73 .5539 X X X X X X X
UMBC America EastAmerica East 24 8 75 .5231 X X X X X X X
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 24 6 80 .5768 X X X X X X X
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 23 11 68 .5630 X X X X X X X
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 23 11 68 .5233 X X X X X X X
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 23 9 72 .5603 X X X X X X X
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 23 11 68 .5409 X X X X X X X
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 23 10 70 .5621 X X X X X X X
St. Thomas SummitSummit 23 10 70 .5342 X X X X X X X
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 23 11 68 .5368 X X X X X X X
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 23 11 68 .5302 X X X X X X X
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 23 11 68 .5341 X X X X X X X
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 22 9 71 .5326 X X X X X X X
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 22 12 65 .5228 X X X X X X X
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 22 11 67 .5202 X X X X X X X
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 22 11 67 .5361 X X X X X X X
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 22 11 67 .5682 X X X X X X X
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 22 11 67 .5435 X X X X X X X
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 22 11 67 .5176 X X X X X X X
Vermont America EastAmerica East 22 12 65 .5027 X X X X X X X
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 22 11 67 .5469 X X X X X X X
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 21 12 64 .5291 X X X X X X X
California ACCACC 21 11 66 .5564 X X X X X X X
Charleston CoastalCoastal 21 11 66 .5348 X X X X X X X
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 21 12 64 .5415 X X X X X X X
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 21 13 62 .5126 X X X X X X X
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 21 16 57 .5007 X X X X X X X
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 21 12 64 .5491 X X X X X X X
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 21 12 64 .5554 X X X X X X X
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 21 11 66 .5207 X X X X X X X
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 20 12 63 .5234 X X X X X X X
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 20 12 63 .5556 X X X X X X X
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 20 14 59 .5119 X X X X X X X
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 20 13 61 .5263 X X X X X X X
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 20 12 63 .5379 X X X X X X X
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 20 12 63 .5313 X X X X X X X
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 20 14 59 .5052 X X X X X X X
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 13 61 .5046 X X X X X X X
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 20 12 63 .5348 X X X X X X X
N.C. State ACCACC 20 13 61 .5631 X X X X X X X
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 20 12 63 .5069 X X X X X X X
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 20 14 59 .5027 X X X X X X X
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 20 11 65 .5123 X X X X X X X
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 13 61 .5031 X X X X X X X
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 20 13 61 .5212 X X X X X X X
Stanford ACCACC 20 12 63 .5594 X X X X X X X
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 20 12 63 .5258 X X X X X X X
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 20 12 63 .5266 X X X X X X X
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 19 13 59 .5086 X X X X X X X
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 19 13 59 .5140 X X X X X X X
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 13 59 .5113 X X X X X X X
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 19 12 61 .5119 X X X X X X X
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 19 13 59 .5203 X X X X X X X
Mercer SouthernSouthern 19 13 59 .5038 X X X X X X X
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 19 15 56 .5116 X X X X X X X
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 19 14 58 .5164 X X X X X X X
Oklahoma SECSEC 19 15 56 .5433 X X X X X X X
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 19 14 58 .5529 X X X X X X X
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 19 13 59 .5140 X X X X X X X
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 13 59 .4844 X X X X X X X
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 19 16 54 .5002 X X X X X X X
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 19 13 59 .5030 X X X X X X X
Toledo MACMAC 19 15 56 .5166 X X X X X X X
Towson CoastalCoastal 19 15 56 .5179 X X X X X X X
UC Davis Big WestBig West 19 14 58 .5068 X X X X X X X
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 15 56 .5094 X X X X X X X
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 19 14 58 .5070 X X X X X X X
Utah Tech WACWAC 19 15 56 .5100 X X X X X X X
Virginia Tech ACCACC 19 13 59 .5557 X X X X X X X
Wofford SouthernSouthern 19 13 59 .4979 X X X X X X X
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 18 15 55 .4717 X X X X X X X
Bowling Green MACMAC 18 14 56 .4991 X X X X X X X
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 18 16 53 .5017 X X X X X X X
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 18 12 60 .4907 X X X X X X X
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 18 15 55 .5464 X X X X X X X
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 18 15 55 .4895 X X X X X X X
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 15 55 .5132 X X X X X X X
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 15 55 .5126 X X X X X X X
Florida St. ACCACC 18 15 55 .5434 X X X X X X X
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 15 55 .5148 X X X X X X X
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 18 15 55 .5025 X X X X X X X
Indiana Big 10Big 10 18 14 56 .5461 X X X X X X X
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 14 56 .5016 X X X X X X X
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 18 15 55 .5041 X X X X X X X
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 15 55 .4840 X X X X X X X
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 18 16 53 .4927 X X X X X X X
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 18 14 56 .4967 X X X X X X X
North Dakota SummitSummit 18 17 51 .4802 X X X X X X X
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 18 15 55 .5096 X X X X X X X
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 18 17 51 .4673 X X X X X X X
Samford SouthernSouthern 18 14 56 .4977 X X X X X X X
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 18 15 55 .4923 X X X X X X X
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 15 55 .5083 X X X X X X X
UCSB Big WestBig West 18 14 56 .5037 X X X X X X X
USC Big 10Big 10 18 14 56 .5404 X X X X X X X
UT Arlington WACWAC 18 14 56 .5118 X X X X X X X
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 15 55 .5020 X X X X X X X
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 18 14 56 .5432 X X X X X X X
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 18 14 56 .5088 X X X X X X X
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 18 14 56 .5214 X X X X X X X
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 17 16 52 .5445 X X X X X X X
Auburn SECSEC 17 16 52 .5499 X X X X X X X
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 17 15 53 .4930 X X X X X X X
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 17 17 50 .4725 X X X X X X X
Buffalo MACMAC 17 15 53 .4965 X X X X X X X
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 17 17 50 .4970 X X X X X X X
Colorado Big 12Big 12 17 15 53 .5342 X X X X X X X
Detroit HorizonHorizon 17 15 53 .4935 X X X X X X X
Drexel CoastalCoastal 17 16 52 .4941 X X X X X X X
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 15 53 .4910 X X X X X X X
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 17 15 53 .4892 X X X X X X X
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 17 12 59 .5153 X X X X X X X
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 17 17 50 .4680 X X X X X X X
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 17 15 53 .5008 X X X X X X X
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 17 16 52 .5087 X X X X X X X
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 17 15 53 .5116 X X X X X X X
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 17 17 50 .4748 X X X X X X X
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 17 50 .5036 X X X X X X X
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 17 12 59 .5087 X X X X X X X
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 17 15 53 .4968 X X X X X X X
UMass MACMAC 17 16 52 .5006 X X X X X X X
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 17 16 52 .5239 X X X X X X X
Wake Forest ACCACC 17 16 52 .5375 X X X X X X X
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 16 50 .4726 X X X X X X X
Baylor Big 12Big 12 16 16 50 .5330 X X X X X X X
Butler Big EastBig East 16 16 50 .5201 X X X X X X X
Campbell CoastalCoastal 16 18 47 .4961 X X X X X X X
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 16 12 57 .5046 X X X X X X X
DePaul Big EastBig East 16 16 50 .5113 X X X X X X X
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 18 47 .4733 X X X X X X X
Georgetown Big EastBig East 16 18 47 .5168 X X X X X X X
Longwood Big SouthBig South 16 16 50 .4646 X X X X X X X
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 16 18 47 .4766 X X X X X X X
NJIT America EastAmerica East 16 17 48 .4707 X X X X X X X
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 16 17 48 .4672 X X X X X X X
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 16 16 50 .4844 X X X X X X X
Oakland HorizonHorizon 16 16 50 .5018 X X X X X X X
Radford Big SouthBig South 16 16 50 .4680 X X X X X X X
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 16 50 .5070 X X X X X X X
South Dakota SummitSummit 16 16 50 .4652 X X X X X X X
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 16 50 .5003 X X X X X X X
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 16 50 .4891 X X X X X X X
Washington Big 10Big 10 16 17 48 .5239 X X X X X X X
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 16 16 50 .4764 X X X X X X X
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 15 17 47 .4621 X X X X X X X
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 13 54 .5063 X X X X X X X
Creighton Big EastBig East 15 17 47 .5214 X X X X X X X
Denver SummitSummit 15 17 47 .4726 X X X X X X X
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 15 17 47 .4750 X X X X X X X
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 15 17 47 .4720 X X X X X X X
LSU SECSEC 15 17 47 .5097 X X X X X X X
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 15 17 47 .4596 X X X X X X X
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 15 17 47 .4864 X X X X X X X
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 15 17 47 .5148 X X X X X X X
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 17 47 .4771 X X X X X X X
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 15 17 47 .4743 X X X X X X X
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 15 19 44 .4639 X X X X X X X
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 15 18 45 .4898 X X X X X X X
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 15 17 47 .4481 X X X X X X X
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 15 19 44 .5151 X X X X X X X
Ohio MACMAC 15 17 47 .4845 X X X X X X X
Ole Miss SECSEC 15 20 43 .5114 X X X X X X X
Portland West CoastWest Coast 15 19 44 .4836 X X X X X X X
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 15 18 45 .4654 X X X X X X X
Providence Big EastBig East 15 18 45 .5136 X X X X X X X
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 17 47 .4894 X X X X X X X
Syracuse ACCACC 15 17 47 .5181 X X X X X X X
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 15 18 45 .4553 X X X X X X X
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 17 47 .4662 X X X X X X X
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 15 16 48 .4822 X X X X X X X
Xavier Big EastBig East 15 18 45 .5086 X X X X X X X
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 15 17 47 .4681 X X X X X X X
Abilene Christian WACWAC 14 19 42 .4702 X X X X X X X
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 14 19 42 .4739 X X X X X X X
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 20 41 .4694 X X X X X X X
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 14 19 42 .4702 X X X X X X X
Elon CoastalCoastal 14 18 44 .4756 X X X X X X X
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 14 16 47 .4675 X X X X X X X
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 14 19 42 .4520 X X X X X X X
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 14 16 47 .4444 X X X X X X X
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 14 18 44 .4411 X X X X X X X
New Haven NortheastNorth East 14 17 45 .4504 X X X X X X X
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 14 19 42 .4727 X X X X X X X
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 14 19 42 .5029 X X X X X X X
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 19 42 .4695 X X X X X X X
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 14 18 44 .4621 X X X X X X X
Tarleton St. WACWAC 14 18 44 .4684 X X X X X X X
Wagner NortheastNorth East 14 17 45 .4519 X X X X X X X
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 13 19 41 .4555 X X X X X X X
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 19 41 .4545 X X X X X X X
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 13 19 41 .4494 X X X X X X X
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 20 39 .4476 X X X X X X X
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 13 19 41 .4792 X X X X X X X
Hampton CoastalCoastal 13 19 41 .4621 X X X X X X X
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 13 20 39 .4467 X X X X X X X
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 19 41 .4893 X X X X X X X
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 13 19 41 .5027 X X X X X X X
Notre Dame ACCACC 13 18 42 .5091 X X X X X X X
Pittsburgh ACCACC 13 20 39 .5007 X X X X X X X
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 18 42 .4663 X X X X X X X
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 13 19 41 .4501 X X X X X X X
South Carolina SECSEC 13 19 41 .4936 X X X X X X X
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 18 42 .4512 X X X X X X X
Ball State MACMAC 12 19 39 .4494 X X X X X X X
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 12 20 38 .4479 X X X X X X X
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 12 19 39 .4458 X X X X X X X
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 12 21 36 .4533 X X X X X X X
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 20 38 .4514 X X X X X X X
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 12 20 38 .4972 X X X X X X X
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 12 19 39 .4498 X X X X X X X
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 20 38 .4373 X X X X X X X
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 20 38 .4506 X X X X X X X
Marquette Big EastBig East 12 20 38 .4915 X X X X X X X
Maryland Big 10Big 10 12 20 38 .4957 X X X X X X X
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 12 21 36 .4591 X X X X X X X
Oregon Big 10Big 10 12 20 38 .4961 X X X X X X X
Penn State Big 10Big 10 12 20 38 .4904 X X X X X X X
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 12 21 36 .4541 X X X X X X X
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 21 36 .4427 X X X X X X X
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 12 21 36 .4294 X X X X X X X
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 12 18 40 .4468 X X X X X X X
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 20 38 .4465 X X X X X X X
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 12 20 38 .4754 X X X X X X X
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 12 20 38 .4578 X X X X X X X
Albany America EastAmerica East 11 21 34 .4259 X X X X X X X
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 21 34 .4310 X X X X X X X
Boston College ACCACC 11 20 35 .4752 X X X X X X X
Citadel SouthernSouthern 11 22 33 .4267 X X X X X X X
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 11 22 33 .4362 X X X X X X X
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 11 16 41 .4656 X X X X X X X
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 20 35 .4559 X X X X X X X
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 11 21 34 .4439 X X X X X X X
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 21 34 .4466 X X X X X X X
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 11 21 34 .4208 X X X X X X X
Georgia Tech ACCACC 11 20 35 .4774 X X X X X X X
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 22 33 .4303 X X X X X X X
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 21 34 .4523 X X X X X X X
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 11 22 33 .4514 X X X X X X X
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 21 34 .4363 X X X X X X X
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 11 19 37 .4509 X X X X X X X
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 11 20 35 .4467 X X X X X X X
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 10 22 31 .4306 X X X X X X X
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 23 30 .4382 X X X X X X X
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 21 32 .4361 X X X X X X X
Central Michigan MACMAC 10 21 32 .4442 X X X X X X X
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 10 21 32 .4503 X X X X X X X
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 10 21 32 .4515 X X X X X X X
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 10 22 31 .4338 X X X X X X X
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 10 22 31 .4391 X X X X X X X
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 10 22 31 .4184 X X X X X X X
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 10 22 31 .4326 X X X X X X X
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 10 23 30 .4242 X X X X X X X
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 10 22 31 .4198 X X X X X X X
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 21 32 .4317 X X X X X X X
Southern Utah WACWAC 10 22 31 .4460 X X X X X X X
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 10 22 31 .4453 X X X X X X X
Utah Big 12Big 12 10 22 31 .4818 X X X X X X X
Western Michigan MACMAC 10 21 32 .4541 X X X X X X X
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 23 28 .4268 X X X X X X X
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 18 33 .4384 X X X X X X X
Bryant America EastAmerica East 9 22 29 .4125 X X X X X X X
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 23 28 .4557 X X X X X X X
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 24 27 .4489 X X X X X X X
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 9 23 28 .4057 X X X X X X X
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 9 21 30 .4172 X X X X X X X
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 21 30 .4263 X X X X X X X
Northern Illinois MACMAC 9 21 30 .4356 X X X X X X X
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 9 23 28 .4364 X X X X X X X
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 20 31 .4497 X X X X X X X
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 9 22 29 .4347 X X X X X X X
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 9 24 27 .4532 X X X X X X X
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 8 23 26 .3860 X X X X X X X
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 24 25 .4182 X X X X X X X
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 8 23 26 .3944 X X X X X X X
Maine America EastAmerica East 8 24 25 .4101 X X X X X X X
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 22 27 .4242 X X X X X X X
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 7 25 22 .4082 X X X X X X X
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 7 24 23 .4061 X X X X X X X
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 7 25 22 .4268 X X X X X X X
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 7 25 22 .4086 X X X X X X X
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 25 22 .4096 X X X X X X X
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 7 24 23 .4356 X X X X X X X
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 23 23 .4023 X X X X X X X
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 7 24 23 .4005 X X X X X X X
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 26 19 .3832 X X X X X X X
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 25 17 .4079 X X X X X X X
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 26 16 .3702 X X X X X X X
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 4 29 12 .3762 X X X X X X X
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 25 14 .3895 X X X X X X X
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 4 28 13 .3777 X X X X X X X
UMKC SummitSummit 4 27 13 .3608 X X X X X X X
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 29 9 .4052 X X X X X X X
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 30 9 .3607 X X X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot